Market · 7 of 9 outcomes
Will DeepSeek be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 22:00 UTC. Not financial advice.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 102 events · $6.08M in play
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| wavesinthesky0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | 1,365 | 0.7¢ | $3 | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 4,481 bets |
| wing12340x02ae…bad5 | Yes | 884 | 0.5¢ | $2 | Losing−$12.89 per $100 · 792 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 726 | 0.2¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| 0xf555…b2d5 | Yes | 386 | 0.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 250 | 1.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| 2kparabellum0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | 232 | 0.9¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
These 9 outcomes add up to 101.4¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.