Market · 7 of 9 outcomes
Will DeepSeek be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 05:46 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| wavesinthesky0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | 1,365 | 0.7¢ | $3 | Losing−$5.34 per $100 · 4,485 bets |
| wing12340x02ae…bad5 | Yes | 884 | 0.5¢ | $2 | Losing−$12.89 per $100 · 792 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 726 | 0.2¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| 0xf555…b2d5 | Yes | 386 | 0.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 250 | 1.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| 2kparabellum0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | 232 | 0.9¢ | $1 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 203 | 4.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,686+ bets · updating |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 173 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 101,968 bets |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.10 per $100 · 22,268 bets |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 150 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 149 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.55 per $100 · 87,620 bets |
| jozeslemsek0xd0bf…9f9f | Yes | 142 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 136 | 3.1¢ | $0 | New0 settled bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 126 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 128,135 bets |
| 0x56a8…eea2 | Yes | 120 | 1.6¢ | $0 | — |
| AAA-Battery0x6c30…a7fc | Yes | 116 | 0.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe072…af95 | Yes | 111 | 0.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x11b2…6d33 | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xcaf6…5c89 | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| vinylether0xf957…b37b | Yes | 100 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| prognozu0x8199…bb6d | Yes | 100 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 95 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,869 bets |
| jennylulu20160xa19f…ddc2 | Yes | 94 | 1.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 80 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.69 per $100 · 57,770 bets |
| fang19570xf82f…5ac5 | Yes | 80 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 13klklas0x52b3…3a58 | No | 0 | 94.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | Yes | 62 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,982 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 54 | 1.2¢ | $0 | — |
| S8880x0711…f03c | Yes | 50 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Proven+$9.11 per $100 · 9,042 bets |
| 0x3e3c…e1d6 | Yes | 50 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| pd.unique0x27ab…e521 | Yes | 47 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.06 per $100 · 30,847 bets |
| akunai0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | 43 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.83 per $100 · 9,510 bets |
| 0xde76…215d | Yes | 30 | 2.5¢ | $0 | — |
| YouSayUpISayDown0xf6f6…0e74 | Yes | 29 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| god837438940xe040…824f | Yes | 28 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| smallreceipt0x942e…be27 | Yes | 20 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | 20 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| paas20xa4bd…e8a2 | Yes | 19 | 5.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.12 per $100 · 85,829 bets |
| wanyama0x3812…b1c8 | Yes | 17 | 5.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf2eb…6eb5 | No | 0 | 96.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | Yes | 15 | 1.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| JustBot0xe33b…6de8 | Yes | 11 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ma990x6c37…d40f | Yes | 10 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.97 per $100 · 7,458 bets |
| godblessme20260x7dcf…a7bd | Yes | 10 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xba2c…54d0 | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | 8 | 2.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$18.76 per $100 · 22,737 bets |
| 3-mil-on-tour0x7595…872e | Yes | 6 | 1.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1d4b…50c5 | Yes | 5 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| ebashim.0x5f95…46c4 | Yes | 5 | 1.5¢ | $0 | — |
| vitalikbt0xd562…6912 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| rated0xa3ad…6866 | Yes | 3 | 3.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.89 per $100 · 18,156 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 105 events · $6.09M in play
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.