Market · 9 of 9 outcomes
Will Mistral be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 18:36 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x3621…9da2 | Yes | 1,972 | 0.5¢ | $1 | — |
| grinopro0x128d…9340 | Yes | 992 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 316 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.70 per $100 · 57,328 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 229 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.61 per $100 · 87,448 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 203 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,679 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 186 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 127,902 bets |
| 0xa9cd…1719 | Yes | 172 | 1.5¢ | $0 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 172 | 5.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.57 per $100 · 124,099+ bets · updating |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 162 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,518 bets |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.10 per $100 · 22,268 bets |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | Yes | 147 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,982 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 141 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| 0x56a8…eea2 | Yes | 139 | 1.6¢ | $0 | — |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 136 | 3.1¢ | $0 | New0 settled bets |
| quietparcel0x764b…6bad | Yes | 130 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.68 per $100 · 41,055+ bets · updating |
| smallreceipt0x942e…be27 | Yes | 119 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| JustBot0xe33b…6de8 | Yes | 109 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 2kparabellum0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | 100 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 100 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| god837438940xe040…824f | Yes | 97 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 95 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,223 bets |
| jennylulu20160xa19f…ddc2 | Yes | 94 | 1.6¢ | $0 | — |
| godblessme20260x7dcf…a7bd | Yes | 59 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Jimmybear0x2e42…0dfe | Yes | 59 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| akunai0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | 53 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.83 per $100 · 9,510 bets |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 50 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.92 per $100 · 158,499 bets |
| t1890x4210…7e30 | Yes | 50 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| tiancs0x8301…3bdc | Yes | 50 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 69dsfs0x624b…56f8 | Yes | 49 | 0.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.03 per $100 · 910 bets |
| pd.unique0x27ab…e521 | Yes | 47 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.06 per $100 · 30,847 bets |
| Biver520xec82…6eaa | Yes | 44 | 0.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.72 per $100 · 13,010 bets |
| flexer780x9422…f273 | Yes | 32 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| YouSayUpISayDown0xf6f6…0e74 | Yes | 29 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| vamosgaming0x6cff…a463 | Yes | 25 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| rated0xa3ad…6866 | Yes | 23 | 3.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.89 per $100 · 18,156 bets |
| hr26g2re62de0xe381…3ba9 | Yes | 21 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| VictorLudorum0x090a…0fa6 | Yes | 21 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.49 per $100 · 22,277 bets |
| mehanizator0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | 19 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.84 per $100 · 8,686 bets |
| 0xaced…7e29 | Yes | 18 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| ma990x6c37…d40f | Yes | 17 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.97 per $100 · 7,458 bets |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | Yes | 17 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| fang19570xf82f…5ac5 | Yes | 16 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | Yes | 15 | 1.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| graynotebook190xcfff…673d | Yes | 10 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| aHjCz0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | 7 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.88 per $100 · 57,792+ bets · updating |
| 3-mil-on-tour0x7595…872e | Yes | 6 | 1.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 3umf0x4bc5…a968 | Yes | 5 | 0.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$12.32 per $100 · 5,048 bets |
| wavesinthesky0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | 5 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 4,481 bets |
| 0xba2c…54d0 | Yes | 5 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.08M in play
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.