Market · 4 of 9 outcomes
Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 16:10 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| wavesinthesky0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | 1,842 | 4.4¢ | $40 | Losing−$5.34 per $100 · 4,485 bets |
| Brunomars0x6562…508e | No | 10 | 98.9¢ | $10 | — |
| asdasdasdasdasdasdasd0x5446…18f6 | Yes | 446 | 2.0¢ | $10 | Proven+$10.89 per $100 · 903 bets |
| kvinster0xb171…a647 | Yes | 439 | 11.4¢ | $9 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 362 | 2.3¢ | $8 | — |
| alexhstv0x6b3b…cf11 | Yes | 325 | 6.4¢ | $7 | — |
| edmundthegreat0x00d9…12df | Yes | 293 | 7.1¢ | $6 | — |
| aoxiaomi0xd4b4…cec6 | Yes | 254 | 4.1¢ | $5 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 236 | 3.1¢ | $5 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,322 bets |
| 0xc861…3c87 | No | 5 | 97.3¢ | $5 | — |
| rocky420180xeda0…7dff | No | 5 | 86.0¢ | $5 | — |
| banestow0x3080…337b | Yes | 207 | 6.3¢ | $4 | Losing−$20.74 per $100 · 495 bets |
| 0xa848…8a1f | Yes | 160 | 3.4¢ | $3 | — |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 147 | 3.8¢ | $3 | Positive+$4.44 per $100 · 6,528 bets |
| 0x34a4…4cc7 | Yes | 146 | 2.5¢ | $3 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 143 | 1.1¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 136 | 3.1¢ | $3 | New0 settled bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 129 | 3.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$14.60 per $100 · 54,599 bets |
| 13klklas0x52b3…3a58 | No | 3 | 86.2¢ | $3 | — |
| gummy-usb0xdf81…697d | Yes | 121 | 6.3¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x1411…2410 | Yes | 102 | 2.1¢ | $2 | Proven+$3.15 per $100 · 357 bets |
| xiaodouzi0x9e80…30e2 | Yes | 100 | 2.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Vovasa0xf319…1902 | Yes | 100 | 1.9¢ | $2 | — |
| JustBot0xe33b…6de8 | Yes | 98 | 17.0¢ | $2 | — |
| jennylulu20160xa19f…ddc2 | Yes | 94 | 50.0¢ | $2 | — |
| NomadAlex0x311d…5357 | No | 2 | 98.8¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x56a8…eea2 | Yes | 90 | 50.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Blurry-Ball0x4734…60b1 | Yes | 87 | 4.4¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x6d19…5dc0 | Yes | 85 | 9.3¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xca3e…c9ff | Yes | 76 | 4.1¢ | $2 | — |
| betmandown0x1a3d…fea1 | Yes | 70 | 4.7¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x539b…c64f | No | 2 | 97.2¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.94 per $100 · 793 bets |
| BSS370x1e98…6345 | Yes | 61 | 9.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.13 per $100 · 15,893 bets |
| mehanizator0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | 56 | 2.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.82 per $100 · 8,696 bets |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 56 | 2.1¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,049 bets |
| moonrise-clump0x48c4…19e5 | No | 1 | 95.0¢ | $1 | — |
| sportkingzer0x0637…1e31 | No | 1 | 97.2¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 1,568 bets |
| 0x4eae…3603 | Yes | 45 | 11.0¢ | $1 | New71 settled bets |
| mrezaa0x02d7…b894 | Yes | 31 | 9.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xa3c2…df3d | Yes | 30 | 11.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.25 per $100 · 56,029 bets |
| YouSayUpISayDown0xf6f6…0e74 | Yes | 29 | 3.1¢ | $1 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 25 | 1.1¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| 0xaa4a…ad2f | Yes | 22 | 4.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 20 | 2.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| JustMan9000x3076…1f69 | No | 0 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 15 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.92 per $100 · 159,552+ bets · updating |
| Djibooty0x9690…f2d5 | Yes | 15 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | Yes | 15 | 1.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus0x9d69…ab3a | Yes | 10 | 12.0¢ | $0 | — |
| kriegerclone0xb88a…f63b | Yes | 10 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| paas20xa4bd…e8a2 | Yes | 10 | 5.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.12 per $100 · 85,829 bets |
| Spectrum0x0781…c4ff | Yes | 6 | 6.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.25 per $100 · 6,285 bets |
| 3-mil-on-tour0x7595…872e | Yes | 6 | 1.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 14gjhgjk0x3f1f…feae | Yes | 4 | 10.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.53 per $100 · 8,319 bets |
| smallreceipt0x942e…be27 | No | 0 | 98.7¢ | $0 | — |
| rated0xa3ad…6866 | Yes | 3 | 3.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.89 per $100 · 18,156 bets |
| 0xf2eb…6eb5 | No | 0 | 88.5¢ | $0 | — |
| pd.unique0x27ab…e521 | Yes | 1 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.09 per $100 · 30,792 bets |
| Colala0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | 1 | 3.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 31,628 bets |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | No | 0 | 99.2¢ | $0 | — |
| crn10x41b7…4ff3 | Yes | 1 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon3213210xe347…b438 | No | 0 | 94.4¢ | $0 | — |
| i18z0xd49b…bdf9 | No | 0 | 98.9¢ | $0 | — |
| UnholyScissors0x99ba…6391 | No | 0 | 86.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 52adsa0x5146…ac5e | Yes | 0 | 3.4¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 111 events · $6.12M in play
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.