Market · 34 of 54 outcomes
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:26 UTC. Not financial advice.
42 more outcomes in this event.
These 54 outcomes add up to 91.4¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa10x0509…6e98 | No | 2,885 | 99.0¢ | $2.88K | Losing−$3.16 per $100 · 2,273 bets |
| JustCrazy0xc21e…0215 | Yes | 1,420,303 | 0.2¢ | $710 | Positive+$6.92 per $100 · 1,769 bets |
| noger7ut60xc3b6…703c | No | 131 | 99.1¢ | $131 | — |
| makemoneyy0xdeda…3991 | No | 100 | 99.3¢ | $100 | — |
| 7u7tgh0x4114…e978 | No | 99 | 99.2¢ | $99 | — |
| majtaj21110x9105…1cd9 | No | 96 | 99.2¢ | $96 | — |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 125 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.