Market · 34 of 54 outcomes
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 13:09 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa10x0509…6e98 | No | 2,885 | 99.0¢ | $2.88K | Losing−$3.20 per $100 · 2,298 bets |
| JustCrazy0xc21e…0215 | Yes | 1,420,303 | 0.2¢ | $710 | Positive+$6.92 per $100 · 1,770 bets |
| noger7ut60xc3b6…703c | No | 131 | 99.1¢ | $131 | — |
| makemoneyy0xdeda…3991 | No | 100 | 99.3¢ | $100 | — |
| 7u7tgh0x4114…e978 | No | 99 | 99.2¢ | $99 | New23 settled bets |
| majtaj21110x9105…1cd9 | No | 96 | 99.2¢ | $96 | — |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 140,497 | 0.2¢ | $70 | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| faithcollins0xa9df…3929 | No | 68 | 99.5¢ | $68 | — |
| glam0x69d1…ab93 | No | 65 | 99.3¢ | $65 | — |
| yalkon10x2302…6f29 | No | 63 | 99.1¢ | $63 | — |
| fkmagafkelon0xe571…0265 | Yes | 125,000 | 0.8¢ | $63 | — |
| rafito30x897d…d6e8 | No | 62 | 99.3¢ | $62 | — |
| Ubrtur0xe3ed…0130 | No | 60 | 99.3¢ | $60 | — |
| tims0xabd0…a9ba | No | 60 | 50.0¢ | $60 | — |
| brandy080xed2e…d12e | No | 58 | 99.9¢ | $58 | — |
| 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | 115,547 | 0.7¢ | $58 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 1,518 bets |
| keqpool0x9999…1f1f | No | 55 | 99.3¢ | $55 | — |
| tugator0x0c26…d223 | Yes | 105,000 | 0.8¢ | $53 | Losing−$2.30 per $100 · 6,748 bets |
| colemanjulie0xe3e0…6605 | No | 52 | 99.9¢ | $52 | — |
| Wan2340x0ebf…5bfa | Yes | 100,000 | 0.4¢ | $50 | Losing−$10.11 per $100 · 183 bets |
| DJew0xc11a…f74e | No | 39 | 99.3¢ | $39 | — |
| RaymondVan0x5677…2ce9 | Yes | 76,980 | 0.3¢ | $38 | Losing−$4.16 per $100 · 748 bets |
| kasaadsffffffffffff0x0ec3…ed16 | No | 35 | 99.3¢ | $35 | — |
| nancimuku0x098b…c8b8 | No | 33 | 99.3¢ | $33 | — |
| SaltMinerva0xeea6…3e72 | No | 31 | 99.3¢ | $31 | — |
| pepepepepe0xb460…39c5 | No | 30 | 99.3¢ | $30 | — |
| 0x871a…b85d | No | 30 | 99.2¢ | $30 | — |
| AnnabelleBurke0xe0b6…5c83 | No | 25 | 99.3¢ | $25 | — |
| gonjubassss0x6e0d…61a4 | No | 25 | 99.3¢ | $25 | — |
| thatscool0x3d0c…1979 | No | 25 | 99.4¢ | $25 | — |
| summervibe0x8fb3…8e06 | No | 25 | 99.3¢ | $25 | — |
| 0x824a…534c | Yes | 48,000 | 0.1¢ | $24 | New68 settled bets |
| fafafa8888880xead5…d461 | No | 24 | 99.3¢ | $24 | — |
| xiaoyanny0x6596…1678 | No | 23 | 99.3¢ | $23 | New42 settled bets |
| honeyxxx0x944f…e2c0 | No | 23 | 99.3¢ | $23 | — |
| 66a80xfa2b…c5e5 | No | 22 | 99.2¢ | $22 | — |
| gingi0x2ef6…f552 | No | 21 | 99.3¢ | $21 | — |
| VivianRonald0x8672…33db | No | 21 | 99.3¢ | $21 | — |
| 0xe14a…59c9 | Yes | 41,000 | 0.1¢ | $21 | — |
| gfdhh990x6a35…35be | No | 20 | 99.2¢ | $20 | — |
| xdsdddddda0x455e…5e08 | No | 20 | 99.3¢ | $20 | — |
| jieshidepangzi0x7421…e904 | No | 20 | 99.3¢ | $20 | — |
| ssssbf0x08ce…7a4f | No | 20 | 99.1¢ | $20 | — |
| chilllofi0x16ac…d3f9 | No | 18 | 99.3¢ | $18 | — |
| foolishyx4450x76dd…acd2 | No | 17 | 99.3¢ | $17 | — |
| SandyEipstein0x056d…0e76 | No | 17 | 99.3¢ | $17 | — |
| LambertWatt0x9893…796e | No | 15 | 99.3¢ | $15 | — |
| MarinaGrant0x8cc7…dda4 | No | 15 | 99.1¢ | $15 | — |
| FrancisLily0x8334…e0b2 | No | 15 | 99.3¢ | $15 | — |
| sleepy-panda0xa49b…4c40 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.4¢ | $15 | Break-even−$0.60 per $100 · 6,324 bets |
| CarolineJessie0x72c9…8e94 | No | 15 | 99.3¢ | $15 | — |
| aakkk0x308a…121d | No | 15 | 99.3¢ | $15 | — |
| mmusk-0510x94da…83ee | No | 15 | 99.3¢ | $15 | — |
| 0xb60b…f440 | No | 14 | 99.3¢ | $14 | — |
| petanimal0xfd69…a2e1 | Yes | 28,520 | 0.5¢ | $14 | Positive+$10.73 per $100 · 3,634 bets |
| 0x8408…c315 | No | 14 | 99.3¢ | $14 | — |
| 0xe5f1…8096 | No | 14 | 99.3¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x4bd4…91ab | Yes | 28,000 | 0.1¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x4815…fbd5 | No | 14 | 99.4¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x06f4…ed71 | No | 14 | 99.3¢ | $14 | — |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 22,800 | 0.8¢ | $11 | Positive+$121.33 per $100 · 627 bets |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 20,795 | 0.7¢ | $10 | New41 settled bets |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | Yes | 20,000 | 0.5¢ | $10 | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,050 bets |
| ShinobiSkill0x2528…0978 | Yes | 17,447 | 0.4¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x2d89…ac9e | Yes | 17,000 | 0.1¢ | $9 | New28 settled bets |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | Yes | 14,444 | 0.7¢ | $7 | Positive+$3.46 per $100 · 888 bets |
| JeremY0x7b01…2e4c | Yes | 13,578 | 0.8¢ | $7 | New0 settled bets |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 13,331 | 0.4¢ | $7 | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| 0xf546…c5e7 | Yes | 13,000 | 0.1¢ | $7 | — |
| CoffeeLover0xc1b3…501c | Yes | 11,137 | 0.7¢ | $6 | Positive+$6.49 per $100 · 2,902 bets |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 11,000 | 0.8¢ | $6 | Positive+$12.20 per $100 · 3,933 bets |
| Frenonski0xf784…ab48 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.3¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 1,570 bets |
| TommyGenss0x5781…e19f | Yes | 9,000 | 0.7¢ | $5 | New13 settled bets |
| 0xb7de…b802 | Yes | 8,541 | 0.8¢ | $4 | Proven+$2.99 per $100 · 625 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 8,384 | 0.8¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,736 bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 7,906 | 0.6¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| 0xe0ba…fa03 | Yes | 7,273 | 1.1¢ | $4 | New43 settled bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 6,883 | 0.8¢ | $3 | Losing−$1.35 per $100 · 16,303 bets |
| Anjun0x4337…8882 | Yes | 6,439 | 1.5¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.10 per $100 · 22,034 bets |
| six-one0xa98d…dff6 | Yes | 6,000 | 0.8¢ | $3 | — |
| kqwjehrbqwemn0x92f6…bd97 | Yes | 6,000 | 0.7¢ | $3 | New65 settled bets |
| Fishsalad0x40c9…664d | Yes | 6,000 | 0.7¢ | $3 | New64 settled bets |
| Fermatter0x0d09…dd55 | Yes | 5,782 | 0.8¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.35 per $100 · 2,822 bets |
| konsomida0x60c6…247f | Yes | 5,500 | 0.6¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.62 per $100 · 767 bets |
| sirigy230x2cd0…fb3d | Yes | 5,280 | 0.8¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x4911…bbf7 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.1¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x59e6…a806 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.6¢ | $3 | — |
| TruongMyLan0x6978…08d8 | Yes | 4,027 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Positive+$6.64 per $100 · 1,269 bets |
| kiyuanfangxiaoqiao0x0b7a…3f58 | Yes | 4,000 | 1.0¢ | $2 | New21 settled bets |
| 0xd246…a7ba | Yes | 4,000 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xdbe7…b9b1 | Yes | 4,000 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x7298…fcfc | Yes | 3,850 | 0.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$7.47 per $100 · 908 bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 3,729 | 1.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,518 bets |
| failstober0x90ed…b5bc | Yes | 3,711 | 0.7¢ | $2 | Proven+$8.51 per $100 · 1,184 bets |
| TheRedChip0xdf6d…9c5c | Yes | 3,254 | 0.7¢ | $2 | Proven+$5.80 per $100 · 1,305 bets |
| LR10xad28…1601 | Yes | 3,190 | 0.7¢ | $2 | Positive+$2.84 per $100 · 1,226 bets |
| FreeCityIndividual0x098e…6fa2 | Yes | 3,112 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 5,150 bets |
| 0x555e…303a | Yes | 3,000 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 125 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.