Market · 31 of 54 outcomes
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:30 UTC. Not financial advice.
Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.
42 more outcomes in this event.
These 54 outcomes add up to 91.4¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falima0x57cc…6bef | No | 2,479 | 99.9¢ | $2.48K | — |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | Yes | 423,886 | 0.6¢ | $636 | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,050 bets |
| MegBee0x2531…d9f1 | Yes | 360,270 | 0.8¢ | $540 | — |
| kyskyskyskys0xb39b…b602 | No | 500 | 99.0¢ | $499 | New18 settled bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | 277,777 | 0.4¢ | $417 | Positive+$1.44 per $100 · 5,411 bets |
| 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | 213,060 | 0.5¢ | $320 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 1,518 bets |
3 accounts bet both sides equally · 453 shares each side · Show
| |||||
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.