Market · 31 of 54 outcomes
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falima0x57cc…6bef | No | 2,479 | 99.9¢ | $2.48K | — |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | Yes | 423,886 | 0.6¢ | $636 | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,050 bets |
| MegBee0x2531…d9f1 | Yes | 360,270 | 0.8¢ | $540 | — |
| kyskyskyskys0xb39b…b602 | No | 500 | 99.0¢ | $499 | New18 settled bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | 277,777 | 0.4¢ | $417 | Positive+$1.44 per $100 · 5,411 bets |
| 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | 213,060 | 0.5¢ | $320 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 1,518 bets |
| 0xdea2…e981 | Yes | 184,998 | 0.9¢ | $277 | New23 settled bets |
| butdiff0x627a…89b5 | No | 250 | 99.3¢ | $250 | — |
| Austin000x7e16…29b4 | No | 211 | 99.5¢ | $211 | — |
| svven50x9ec2…1759 | No | 208 | 99.2¢ | $208 | — |
| JORDAN232323230xe686…13cb | Yes | 125,000 | 0.8¢ | $188 | — |
| Protocol294Prime0x434f…580b | No | 172 | 99.3¢ | $172 | — |
| 0xcdlambjrrt0lk1en0js1mps0nipda1lyjfk0x52c2…0556 | Yes | 112,000 | 0.6¢ | $168 | New22 settled bets |
| RaymondVan0x5677…2ce9 | Yes | 110,765 | 0.3¢ | $166 | Losing−$4.16 per $100 · 748 bets |
| polyyo0x28c4…4f9a | No | 150 | 99.3¢ | $150 | — |
| prosperpulse20x8ec1…4849 | No | 147 | 99.0¢ | $147 | — |
| masontimothy0xf0f2…b985 | No | 128 | 99.9¢ | $128 | — |
| silvadanielle0xc198…6b5d | No | 123 | 99.8¢ | $123 | — |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 78,616 | 0.7¢ | $118 | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| 345g0x8706…1e9c | No | 116 | 99.3¢ | $116 | — |
| lynchsean0x5d54…68d3 | No | 108 | 99.8¢ | $108 | — |
| bradleyshort0x4fe1…2310 | No | 107 | 99.8¢ | $107 | — |
| madelinewright0x9eed…b7a7 | No | 103 | 99.8¢ | $103 | — |
| trysom0x087b…54fd | No | 100 | 99.3¢ | $100 | — |
| highmeme0x1498…d5dc | No | 100 | 99.3¢ | $100 | — |
| xiaocui0x53b2…5754 | No | 100 | 99.3¢ | $100 | — |
| vanss0x5b99…b62e | No | 100 | 99.1¢ | $100 | New30 settled bets |
| killerqueen0x5d14…b232 | No | 100 | 99.3¢ | $100 | — |
| signaturee0x6271…d24e | No | 100 | 99.3¢ | $100 | — |
| xiaoyanny0x6596…1678 | No | 100 | 99.3¢ | $100 | — |
| jointeam0x8f5c…96d0 | No | 100 | 99.3¢ | $100 | — |
| professorr0x99b2…bfd5 | No | 100 | 99.3¢ | $100 | — |
| rmalone0x7645…f463 | No | 99 | 99.8¢ | $99 | — |
| stanleyclark0xe205…faca | No | 94 | 99.8¢ | $94 | — |
| garciaalexander0x5d4d…a1ca | No | 93 | 99.9¢ | $93 | — |
| liquidityy0x4422…de9d | No | 91 | 99.3¢ | $91 | — |
| kayleeortiz0xd2c4…43cc | No | 86 | 99.8¢ | $86 | — |
| alison130x058f…e46f | No | 85 | 99.9¢ | $85 | — |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 54,853 | 0.8¢ | $82 | Losing−$1.32 per $100 · 16,244 bets |
| 0x59bf…8122 | No | 81 | 99.3¢ | $81 | — |
| GayPride0x551e…b0e0 | Yes | 52,500 | 0.4¢ | $79 | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 967 bets |
| edwardsbridget0x588d…f4f4 | No | 78 | 99.5¢ | $78 | — |
| vainglorious870x6e03…dd32 | Yes | 50,000 | 0.8¢ | $75 | — |
| fandrade0x33ec…b7bc | No | 72 | 99.8¢ | $72 | — |
| umccall0x01ba…93f1 | No | 71 | 99.9¢ | $71 | — |
| melaniesmith0x0454…30ec | No | 70 | 99.9¢ | $70 | — |
| dixonmargaret0x6706…ed43 | No | 70 | 99.8¢ | $70 | — |
| ohooy0xbb96…d76c | No | 70 | 99.3¢ | $70 | — |
| etar0x0c15…944d | Yes | 46,004 | 0.8¢ | $69 | — |
| userhmx0xaf71…c949 | No | 68 | 99.3¢ | $68 | — |
| Klo0x4241…4da7 | Yes | 44,945 | 0.6¢ | $67 | — |
| mosleykristine0x30e8…728e | No | 65 | 99.9¢ | $65 | — |
| lindsaylawson0x24c5…22e5 | No | 62 | 99.5¢ | $62 | — |
| jasminerice0x3fda…b58e | No | 61 | 99.9¢ | $61 | — |
| kiko220x35b9…a59e | No | 59 | 99.3¢ | $59 | — |
| fa504d0xae83…0d6a | No | 58 | 99.1¢ | $57 | — |
| klinedarrell0xb0c9…8d7b | No | 57 | 99.9¢ | $57 | — |
| dxjfff8880xf6c2…61ca | No | 55 | 99.3¢ | $55 | — |
| northface0xcc0f…d176 | No | 55 | 99.3¢ | $55 | — |
| deibw0xf949…3d25 | No | 55 | 99.3¢ | $55 | — |
| yokojhon10x9c16…e5c4 | No | 55 | 99.3¢ | $55 | — |
| tiuri0x40a1…e17d | Yes | 31,075 | 0.2¢ | $47 | — |
| BlackswanDefi0x28c3…da06 | Yes | 30,000 | 1.0¢ | $45 | — |
| sleepy-panda0xa49b…4c40 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.4¢ | $45 | Break-even−$0.60 per $100 · 6,323 bets |
| 4320xbcd4…50fa | Yes | 30,000 | 0.2¢ | $45 | — |
| 0xd88f…3b4e | Yes | 25,000 | 0.2¢ | $38 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 24,539 | 0.9¢ | $37 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,453 bets |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 21,000 | 0.7¢ | $32 | Positive+$12.16 per $100 · 3,927 bets |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 20,795 | 0.7¢ | $31 | New41 settled bets |
| CoffeeLover0xc1b3…501c | Yes | 15,701 | 0.7¢ | $24 | Positive+$6.49 per $100 · 2,902 bets |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | Yes | 14,444 | 0.7¢ | $22 | Positive+$3.46 per $100 · 888 bets |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 13,331 | 0.4¢ | $20 | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| mrtrump0xc3bf…e70f | Yes | 10,562 | 0.2¢ | $16 | Positive+$2.70 per $100 · 2,377 bets |
| tugator0x0c26…d223 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.8¢ | $15 | Losing−$2.28 per $100 · 6,744 bets |
| Wan2340x0ebf…5bfa | Yes | 10,000 | 1.0¢ | $15 | Losing−$10.16 per $100 · 179 bets |
| 0x115a…e4a6 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.9¢ | $15 | New79 settled bets |
| solwizzo-onX0xff16…7511 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.9¢ | $15 | Proven+$5.33 per $100 · 817 bets |
| EXPONENTIAL330x2278…a72c | Yes | 8,385 | 0.8¢ | $13 | — |
| gandalf0x21f9…ed12 | Yes | 7,909 | 0.0¢ | $12 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,386 bets |
| whynonamebro0xad2b…e887 | Yes | 7,600 | 1.0¢ | $11 | — |
| 0xb7de…b802 | Yes | 7,572 | 0.8¢ | $11 | Proven+$2.99 per $100 · 625 bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 7,080 | 0.6¢ | $11 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| konsomida0x60c6…247f | Yes | 5,500 | 0.6¢ | $8 | Positive+$3.21 per $100 · 750 bets |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 5,400 | 0.8¢ | $8 | Positive+$136.59 per $100 · 601 bets |
| Hero975678970x0f1d…0f59 | Yes | 5,200 | 50.0¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x6b06…83a4 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.2¢ | $8 | — |
| DtotheJ0x6f39…8ad7 | Yes | 5,000 | 1.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$39.91 per $100 · 209 bets |
| cobble0xe5c2…cfb5 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.6¢ | $8 | — |
| JP50xfcf2…9ada | Yes | 5,000 | 0.8¢ | $8 | — |
| six-one0xa98d…dff6 | Yes | 4,500 | 0.8¢ | $7 | — |
| f2kus0xdcf8…93c6 | Yes | 4,444 | 0.8¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x9f57…3272 | Yes | 4,134 | 0.9¢ | $6 | — |
| TruongMyLan0x6978…08d8 | Yes | 4,027 | 0.8¢ | $6 | Positive+$6.58 per $100 · 1,267 bets |
| cocococococo0xbad2…5296 | Yes | 4,005 | 0.6¢ | $6 | Positive+$1.80 per $100 · 4,082 bets |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | Yes | 4,000 | 0.5¢ | $6 | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,059 bets |
| 0xb452…57e7 | Yes | 4,000 | 1.1¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x7298…fcfc | Yes | 3,850 | 0.4¢ | $6 | Positive+$7.47 per $100 · 908 bets |
3 accounts bet both sides equally · 453 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.