Market · 37 of 54 outcomes
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:57 UTC. Not financial advice.
Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
42 more outcomes in this event.
These 54 outcomes add up to 91.6¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 10 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kareesh0x0303…fcd1 | No | 5,600 | 99.4¢ | $5.6K | Losing−$3.17 per $100 · 562 bets |
| lvle0xebe9…0568 | No | 733 | 99.2¢ | $733 | New |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 0xf090…7e13 | No | 544 | 99.6¢ | $544 | New25 settled bets |
| 98jnkm00x40e6…2a5a | No | 506 | 99.4¢ | $506 | New19 settled bets |
| junchen0x9688…42bd | No | 500 | 50.4¢ | $500 | New47 settled bets |
| notyer0x0b46…2e93 | No | 478 | 99.3¢ | $478 | — |
10 accounts bet both sides equally · 295K shares each side · Show
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