Market · 37 of 54 outcomes
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:32 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 10 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kareesh0x0303…fcd1 | No | 5,600 | 99.4¢ | $5.6K | Losing−$3.17 per $100 · 562 bets |
| lvle0xebe9…0568 | No | 733 | 99.2¢ | $733 | New45 settled bets |
| 0xf090…7e13 | No | 544 | 99.6¢ | $544 | New25 settled bets |
| 98jnkm00x40e6…2a5a | No | 506 | 99.4¢ | $506 | New19 settled bets |
| junchen0x9688…42bd | No | 500 | 50.4¢ | $500 | New47 settled bets |
| notyer0x0b46…2e93 | No | 478 | 99.3¢ | $478 | New32 settled bets |
| vegk30xcca6…8b5d | No | 447 | 99.6¢ | $447 | — |
| JustCrazy0xc21e…0215 | Yes | 705,650 | 0.4¢ | $353 | Positive+$6.92 per $100 · 1,770 bets |
| lisammm0x09a7…dba1 | No | 300 | 99.2¢ | $300 | New40 settled bets |
| butdiff0x627a…89b5 | No | 250 | 99.2¢ | $250 | — |
| alloratge0x6ae4…e2f7 | No | 200 | 99.2¢ | $200 | — |
| bigbrainn0x8fc9…bf9d | No | 200 | 99.2¢ | $200 | — |
| iknowu0xbe49…23c8 | No | 200 | 99.2¢ | $200 | — |
| tolokpot0xcb2a…5874 | No | 160 | 99.3¢ | $160 | — |
| pizzaallosqualo0x801b…e036 | Yes | 318,921 | 0.6¢ | $159 | Positive+$9.96 per $100 · 180 bets |
| shuaigege0x89da…47e7 | No | 145 | 99.2¢ | $145 | — |
| wipahutuwuv0xb1b1…ba52 | No | 140 | 99.4¢ | $140 | — |
| 890lll0x8bfa…2b19 | No | 133 | 99.2¢ | $133 | — |
| 435gfd0x74f7…64ff | No | 128 | 99.6¢ | $128 | — |
| 544RTRE0xa5ab…a6d8 | No | 124 | 99.5¢ | $124 | — |
| VXeQty0x625d…dc94 | No | 123 | 99.4¢ | $123 | — |
| Asperatus0x36a7…1aea | Yes | 240,000 | 0.4¢ | $120 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 735 bets |
| lupCIc0xe018…a33c | No | 118 | 99.4¢ | $118 | — |
| unhnTSqy0x71c5…9065 | No | 114 | 99.4¢ | $114 | — |
| betnowlfg0x607d…fec7 | No | 111 | 99.1¢ | $111 | — |
| sklh0xa001…5976 | No | 110 | 99.2¢ | $110 | — |
| IsFKaGEK0xa81b…637e | No | 104 | 99.4¢ | $104 | — |
| 08na0x551a…7a72 | No | 103 | 99.2¢ | $103 | — |
| 7bfd0x5f95…813f | No | 101 | 99.3¢ | $101 | — |
| lisadecker0x95cb…04c7 | No | 101 | 99.9¢ | $101 | — |
| horsedashuai0x0c5c…dea0 | No | 100 | 99.2¢ | $100 | New23 settled bets |
| highmeme0x1498…d5dc | No | 100 | 99.2¢ | $100 | New25 settled bets |
| xiaoyanny0x6596…1678 | No | 100 | 99.2¢ | $100 | — |
| goldd0xd465…fb5b | No | 100 | 99.2¢ | $100 | — |
| higherbrothers0xfa8d…2379 | No | 100 | 99.2¢ | $100 | — |
| rrrg40xa061…abc0 | No | 94 | 99.4¢ | $94 | — |
| KKchallenge0xfe03…f14f | Yes | 184,705 | 0.3¢ | $92 | Break-even−$0.56 per $100 · 560 bets |
| 0x6ca7…1ccc | No | 92 | 99.4¢ | $91 | — |
| gekoooobn0xea55…3058 | No | 88 | 99.4¢ | $87 | — |
| santiagojeremiah0x77bc…dbb1 | No | 83 | 99.8¢ | $83 | — |
| 56GF3D0xcea2…18c2 | No | 81 | 99.2¢ | $81 | — |
| JGG4550xff48…feb6 | No | 76 | 99.2¢ | $76 | — |
| LAROW0xc474…6061 | Yes | 149,997 | 0.5¢ | $75 | New78 settled bets |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 134,136 | 0.4¢ | $67 | Positive+$12.20 per $100 · 3,928 bets |
| hynczyk30xa01a…e71c | No | 65 | 99.4¢ | $65 | — |
| 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | 96,053 | 0.6¢ | $48 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 1,518 bets |
| tugator0x0c26…d223 | Yes | 80,000 | 0.8¢ | $40 | Losing−$2.28 per $100 · 6,744 bets |
| zoejohn0x4462…8d6c | No | 30 | 68.5¢ | $30 | — |
| 0x43cd…bf40 | Yes | 50,000 | 0.1¢ | $25 | — |
| xlefgerx0x94e4…534a | Yes | 49,149 | 0.5¢ | $25 | Positive+$12.65 per $100 · 450 bets |
| 0x824a…534c | Yes | 40,000 | 0.1¢ | $20 | New68 settled bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 32,361 | 0.8¢ | $16 | Losing−$1.33 per $100 · 16,271 bets |
| sleepy-panda0xa49b…4c40 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.4¢ | $15 | Break-even−$0.60 per $100 · 6,324 bets |
| bryccx0xd1e0…072a | Yes | 25,000 | 0.1¢ | $13 | — |
| etar0x0c15…944d | Yes | 23,999 | 0.2¢ | $12 | Positive+$5.00 per $100 · 169 bets |
| tiger5550xd600…b66e | Yes | 23,809 | 0.4¢ | $12 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 495 bets |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 22,800 | 0.8¢ | $11 | Positive+$136.59 per $100 · 601 bets |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 20,795 | 0.7¢ | $10 | New41 settled bets |
| 954bjhyt0x216e…73b7 | Yes | 20,000 | 0.5¢ | $10 | — |
| DF2D340x7985…d7ad | Yes | 18,700 | 0.5¢ | $9 | — |
| pp320xb512…30fb | Yes | 16,667 | 0.6¢ | $8 | New8 settled bets |
| shudd0x6884…417c | Yes | 14,980 | 0.6¢ | $7 | — |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | Yes | 14,444 | 0.7¢ | $7 | Positive+$3.46 per $100 · 888 bets |
| 0xEC6AD6AEAA93940x9e83…9394 | Yes | 14,004 | 0.1¢ | $7 | Positive+$19.12 per $100 · 4,935 bets |
| XDCWS340xc965…5ed9 | Yes | 14,000 | 0.5¢ | $7 | — |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 13,331 | 0.4¢ | $7 | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 12,007 | 1.2¢ | $6 | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| 0x71cc…0bf9 | Yes | 12,000 | 0.5¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x94b5…a111 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.5¢ | $5 | — |
| RaymondVan0x5677…2ce9 | Yes | 9,271 | 0.6¢ | $5 | Losing−$4.16 per $100 · 748 bets |
| dd5550x0271…725a | Yes | 9,200 | 0.8¢ | $5 | New9 settled bets |
| cocococococo0xbad2…5296 | Yes | 8,011 | 0.6¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.80 per $100 · 4,082 bets |
| 732250x9903…9004 | Yes | 7,844 | 0.8¢ | $4 | — |
| ihh340x90b9…1df6 | Yes | 7,750 | 0.8¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x7a3e…7d5b | Yes | 7,640 | 0.6¢ | $4 | — |
| 552340x47cb…9fd2 | Yes | 7,100 | 0.8¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x4239…54e6 | Yes | 7,000 | 0.8¢ | $4 | — |
| simalu0xfd23…df9d | Yes | 6,783 | 0.1¢ | $3 | — |
| XFCXY7Y0x0f1f…48e0 | Yes | 6,200 | 0.8¢ | $3 | New10 settled bets |
| kqwjehrbqwemn0x92f6…bd97 | Yes | 6,000 | 0.7¢ | $3 | New65 settled bets |
| f2kus0xdcf8…93c6 | Yes | 5,555 | 0.6¢ | $3 | — |
| konsomida0x60c6…247f | Yes | 5,500 | 0.6¢ | $3 | Positive+$3.21 per $100 · 750 bets |
| DFGDG330xb4e6…9c0e | Yes | 5,500 | 0.8¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xc208…e9b4 | Yes | 5,300 | 0.8¢ | $3 | — |
| shidongan0x1e64…9b93 | Yes | 5,089 | 0.8¢ | $3 | — |
| zkvo0x03b3…e865 | Yes | 5,020 | 0.6¢ | $3 | New41 settled bets |
| petanimal0xfd69…a2e1 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.4¢ | $3 | Positive+$10.73 per $100 · 3,634 bets |
10 accounts bet both sides equally · 295K shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.