Market · 14 of 54 outcomes
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:21 UTC. Not financial advice.
42 more outcomes in this event.
These 54 outcomes add up to 91.8¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 4 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shitposter0x2fd9…27a3 | Yes | 325,974 | 1.8¢ | $4.73K | — |
| Railcool0x94c4…43ca | Yes | 324,544 | 1.0¢ | $4.71K | Proven+$13.67 per $100 · 222 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 |
| Yes |
| 210,559 |
| 0.6¢ |
| $3.05K |
| Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 208,427 | 0.8¢ | $3.02K | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| 0xcdlambjrrt0lk1en0js1mps0nipda1lyjfk0x52c2…0556 | Yes | 188,264 | 0.7¢ | $2.73K | New22 settled bets |
| lastminwin0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | 128,932 | 0.7¢ | $1.87K | New6 settled bets |
4 accounts bet both sides equally · 25.2K shares each side · Show
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