Market · 14 of 54 outcomes
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:53 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.6M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 4 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shitposter0x2fd9…27a3 | Yes | 325,974 | 1.8¢ | $4.4K | New5 settled bets |
| Railcool0x94c4…43ca | Yes | 324,544 | 1.0¢ | $4.38K | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | 210,559 | 0.6¢ | $2.84K | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 208,427 | 0.8¢ | $2.81K | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| 0xcdlambjrrt0lk1en0js1mps0nipda1lyjfk0x52c2…0556 | Yes | 188,264 | 0.7¢ | $2.54K | New22 settled bets |
| lastminwin0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | 128,932 | 0.7¢ | $1.74K | New6 settled bets |
| schlomosgoy0x6e2d…6130 | Yes | 125,262 | 1.2¢ | $1.69K | New39 settled bets |
| 0x8dd2…6ba2 | Yes | 116,464 | 1.1¢ | $1.57K | New34 settled bets |
| FakeMichaelBurry0x454e…636d | Yes | 104,305 | 1.1¢ | $1.41K | New22 settled bets |
| claudelover0x1d9a…9a46 | Yes | 88,030 | 1.0¢ | $1.19K | New4 settled bets |
| GayPride0x551e…b0e0 | Yes | 52,500 | 0.4¢ | $709 | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 967 bets |
| TheDao0x26f8…a969 | Yes | 41,529 | 0.6¢ | $561 | New71 settled bets |
| TokenBrawler0x12c0…ba3b | No | 552 | 98.9¢ | $545 | Break-even+$0.00 per $100 · 136 bets |
| fiftyfifty0xbe94…da00 | Yes | 38,000 | 0.7¢ | $513 | New47 settled bets |
| 0xb93c…1c77 | Yes | 37,841 | 0.8¢ | $511 | — |
| 0xd159…392b | Yes | 34,205 | 1.1¢ | $462 | — |
| sleepy-panda0xa49b…4c40 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.4¢ | $405 | Break-even−$0.60 per $100 · 6,324 bets |
| CoffeeLover0xc1b3…501c | Yes | 28,674 | 0.7¢ | $387 | Positive+$6.49 per $100 · 2,902 bets |
| real.honey0x241a…81ef | Yes | 27,084 | 0.8¢ | $366 | New1 settled bet |
| RobXK0x60b2…3cce | Yes | 25,000 | 0.7¢ | $338 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 2,750 bets |
| mrtrump0xc3bf…e70f | Yes | 24,549 | 0.6¢ | $331 | Positive+$2.70 per $100 · 2,377 bets |
| daverraver0x9464…bce5 | Yes | 22,401 | 1.1¢ | $302 | — |
| 0x2592…8b66 | Yes | 22,222 | 0.9¢ | $300 | New0 settled bets |
| 0xb0bc…ef90 | No | 290 | 99.1¢ | $286 | — |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 20,795 | 0.7¢ | $281 | New41 settled bets |
| RaymondVan0x5677…2ce9 | Yes | 20,042 | 0.9¢ | $271 | Losing−$4.16 per $100 · 748 bets |
| GreenRay0xfb07…b950 | Yes | 16,667 | 0.9¢ | $225 | — |
| 0x5508…4408 | Yes | 15,909 | 1.6¢ | $215 | New2 settled bets |
| Billy20250xd77b…24ab | Yes | 15,000 | 1.0¢ | $203 | New66 settled bets |
| zar690xdf0d…c7be | No | 201 | 99.4¢ | $198 | — |
| Oliviaa0x2c02…882f | No | 201 | 99.6¢ | $198 | New31 settled bets |
| Ellie000970x6565…602c | No | 201 | 99.6¢ | $198 | New31 settled bets |
| Lily8880xd794…e19d | No | 201 | 99.6¢ | $198 | — |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | Yes | 14,444 | 0.7¢ | $195 | Positive+$3.46 per $100 · 888 bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 13,920 | 0.7¢ | $188 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 13,331 | 0.4¢ | $180 | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| craigbarker0xb8cd…1cb1 | Yes | 13,197 | 1.3¢ | $178 | — |
| NBAFINALS0xfb60…e8e7 | Yes | 12,981 | 0.6¢ | $175 | — |
| nhpx38txna05000x712f…b93b | Yes | 12,129 | 0.7¢ | $164 | Proven+$4.54 per $100 · 509 bets |
| FizBack0xa52e…3809 | Yes | 11,718 | 1.3¢ | $158 | — |
| sauceman90000x03e2…5d9e | Yes | 11,332 | 0.9¢ | $153 | New0 settled bets |
| Nurax0x7830…783f | Yes | 11,247 | 1.3¢ | $152 | Losing−$5.62 per $100 · 156 bets |
| onkelringnes0xbb1b…937a | Yes | 11,200 | 1.0¢ | $151 | — |
| BabblesandFriends0x247c…45a8 | Yes | 10,582 | 0.9¢ | $143 | New24 settled bets |
| 0xd24b…75eb | Yes | 10,496 | 0.9¢ | $142 | — |
| naviita90xcbbf…0098 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.6¢ | $135 | — |
| Contraposition0xddad…c3da | Yes | 10,000 | 1.1¢ | $135 | — |
| HunterToken0x47c8…20d5 | No | 131 | 99.6¢ | $129 | Break-even−$0.49 per $100 · 112 bets |
| 0x1728…eed0 | No | 126 | 99.1¢ | $124 | New19 settled bets |
| 0xf98c…1e84 | No | 120 | 99.3¢ | $119 | — |
| 0xe326…446a | No | 119 | 99.1¢ | $117 | — |
| 0x57b9…ae6a | Yes | 8,583 | 1.2¢ | $116 | New0 settled bets |
| 0x791c…a2b3 | No | 117 | 99.1¢ | $116 | New25 settled bets |
| 0xd0ef…7d13 | No | 117 | 99.3¢ | $116 | — |
| 0x2a0a…166e | No | 110 | 99.2¢ | $108 | New13 settled bets |
| 0xd1b6…3b34 | Yes | 7,778 | 0.9¢ | $105 | — |
| gandalf0x21f9…ed12 | Yes | 7,719 | 0.0¢ | $104 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,386 bets |
| TobiBieber0x5089…43ff | Yes | 7,100 | 1.0¢ | $96 | New2 settled bets |
| 0xdc3E831cad0x5ecd…0787 | Yes | 6,198 | 0.7¢ | $84 | Positive+$2.43 per $100 · 5,618 bets |
| TommyFules0xe291…3b09 | Yes | 6,014 | 0.7¢ | $81 | — |
| Fishsalad0x40c9…664d | Yes | 6,000 | 0.8¢ | $81 | New64 settled bets |
| OneZeroEight0x1cdc…c9e2 | Yes | 5,556 | 0.9¢ | $75 | New18 settled bets |
| 0x9629…c200 | No | 70 | 99.1¢ | $69 | — |
| fyghn0xde79…abbe | No | 60 | 99.2¢ | $60 | — |
| mfnzqnon0xf07c…27f3 | No | 59 | 99.1¢ | $58 | — |
| kdudujxt0xf859…e659 | No | 58 | 99.1¢ | $57 | — |
| RealMadrid3330x7f8a…d662 | No | 56 | 99.1¢ | $56 | New0 settled bets |
| hgtqbodx0x5760…1015 | No | 55 | 99.1¢ | $55 | New92 settled bets |
| cstrwhtrw0xb16a…895e | No | 55 | 99.3¢ | $54 | — |
| zcdfrf0x3a2b…c733 | No | 54 | 99.5¢ | $53 | New16 settled bets |
| 0x4bb0…75ce | No | 51 | 99.1¢ | $51 | Break-even−$0.10 per $100 · 103 bets |
| Gramoteysss0x1e1e…1c40 | No | 50 | 99.4¢ | $49 | New11 settled bets |
| incrible0x2df6…76a0 | No | 50 | 99.2¢ | $49 | New16 settled bets |
| Marsianilive0x2ef9…85d3 | No | 50 | 99.2¢ | $49 | New13 settled bets |
| Gustafo500x5ebe…9e13 | No | 50 | 99.1¢ | $49 | New9 settled bets |
| Samuel19850xc48e…a97c | No | 50 | 99.2¢ | $49 | — |
| MoniPomoni0xe111…ab80 | No | 50 | 99.2¢ | $49 | — |
| svantik0xe61e…7137 | No | 50 | 99.2¢ | $49 | — |
| driikdgt0x7bde…c55c | No | 49 | 99.1¢ | $48 | Break-even−$0.10 per $100 · 103 bets |
| s12KzrZlJR0xcfec…e1d6 | No | 48 | 99.1¢ | $48 | — |
| 0xaca6…baac | No | 40 | 98.7¢ | $40 | — |
| dswgtr0x51e5…27f8 | No | 33 | 99.4¢ | $33 | New19 settled bets |
| ErikHermiston0x3045…24ea | No | 27 | 98.4¢ | $27 | New8 settled bets |
| pmlpMail0xcbf0…0536 | No | 26 | 99.0¢ | $25 | — |
| nnhjdgeert453f0x4a7e…418b | No | 20 | 98.9¢ | $20 | New43 settled bets |
| 0x4524…8c5f | No | 20 | 98.6¢ | $20 | New46 settled bets |
| huiwas0xc5e0…8eb5 | No | 17 | 99.2¢ | $17 | — |
| 0x69e4…c941 | No | 17 | 99.2¢ | $17 | New19 settled bets |
| 0x4f1b…46eb | No | 15 | 99.2¢ | $15 | New30 settled bets |
| 0x08b8…f436 | No | 15 | 99.2¢ | $15 | New21 settled bets |
| MashaLee0x8dc3…cbb0 | No | 15 | 99.5¢ | $15 | — |
| 0x4436…6898 | No | 15 | 99.2¢ | $15 | New29 settled bets |
| dsfxc0x6dcd…d7ef | No | 15 | 99.2¢ | $14 | New28 settled bets |
| 0x9a99…9f4e | No | 15 | 99.2¢ | $14 | — |
| CamillaWunsch0x292d…3024 | No | 14 | 97.9¢ | $14 | — |
4 accounts bet both sides equally · 25.2K shares each side · Show
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