Market · 23 of 54 outcomes
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:53 UTC. Not financial advice.
42 more outcomes in this event.
These 54 outcomes add up to 91.6¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 2 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa10x0509…6e98 | No | 7,335 | 98.7¢ | $7.29K | Losing−$3.20 per $100 · 2,287 bets |
| Predictor480x0441…194c | Yes | 432,360 | 1.5¢ | $2.38K | New |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| MoriSan0x1e18…581c | Yes | 395,160 | 1.2¢ | $2.17K | — |
| WERTY-3390xa825…0a4c | No | 1,910 | 99.5¢ | $1.9K | — |
| 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | 185,671 | 0.5¢ | $1.02K | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 1,518 bets |
| xinyuan0x52ee…2f52 | No | 1,000 | 99.6¢ | $995 | New55 settled bets |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 3.57K shares each side · Show
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