Market · 23 of 54 outcomes
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:47 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 2 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa10x0509…6e98 | No | 7,335 | 98.7¢ | $7.29K | Losing−$3.20 per $100 · 2,298 bets |
| Predictor480x0441…194c | Yes | 432,360 | 1.5¢ | $2.38K | New |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| MoriSan0x1e18…581c | Yes | 395,160 | 1.2¢ | $2.17K | New8 settled bets |
| WERTY-3390xa825…0a4c | No | 1,910 | 99.5¢ | $1.9K | — |
| 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | 185,625 | 0.5¢ | $1.02K | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 1,518 bets |
| xinyuan0x52ee…2f52 | No | 1,000 | 99.6¢ | $995 | New55 settled bets |
| TruthIsF17760xf20b…5ddd | Yes | 153,976 | 1.5¢ | $847 | — |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | 127,479 | 0.5¢ | $701 | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| Boris090x1599…6e41 | Yes | 125,000 | 0.8¢ | $688 | New1 settled bet |
| Andonoski0xb575…bea5 | Yes | 120,962 | 0.7¢ | $665 | — |
| 0xcdlambjrrt0lk1en0js1mps0nipda1lyjfk0x52c2…0556 | Yes | 112,000 | 0.6¢ | $616 | New22 settled bets |
| Ivan0190x79d8…94dd | Yes | 103,478 | 1.6¢ | $569 | New1 settled bet |
| Probinan00x43e2…242d | Yes | 101,376 | 1.2¢ | $558 | New3 settled bets |
| zizhulin0x478c…a645 | No | 400 | 99.6¢ | $398 | New63 settled bets |
| PO-lfds4440x1574…64c9 | Yes | 69,234 | 1.8¢ | $381 | Losing−$3.70 per $100 · 964 bets |
| DapperChapper0xf8cc…5a82 | Yes | 49,994 | 1.2¢ | $275 | Positive+$1.49 per $100 · 1,104 bets |
| 446660xc355…d90c | No | 275 | 98.0¢ | $274 | — |
| NervousHippo0x1125…71f1 | Yes | 48,870 | 0.6¢ | $269 | New1 settled bet |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | Yes | 41,734 | 0.6¢ | $230 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| mememe000x5f41…765b | No | 211 | 99.6¢ | $210 | New28 settled bets |
| nmnbhj0xde74…d29e | No | 201 | 99.6¢ | $200 | — |
| Lisaaaaa0x6559…7a07 | No | 191 | 50.0¢ | $190 | New35 settled bets |
| RaymondVan0x5677…2ce9 | Yes | 34,081 | 0.6¢ | $187 | Losing−$4.16 per $100 · 748 bets |
| 000230x4eb4…bf63 | No | 180 | 98.0¢ | $179 | New6 settled bets |
| Ronaldo2win0xd847…ae3a | Yes | 31,132 | 0.6¢ | $171 | — |
| 0xea3d…1600 | Yes | 30,165 | 0.6¢ | $166 | — |
| sleepy-panda0xa49b…4c40 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.4¢ | $165 | Break-even−$0.60 per $100 · 6,324 bets |
| u880x5e61…3948 | No | 162 | 98.8¢ | $162 | New32 settled bets |
| Xavier19870x2ac6…f108 | Yes | 26,857 | 0.5¢ | $148 | New0 settled bets |
| 777730x1562…9cad | No | 141 | 98.0¢ | $140 | New7 settled bets |
| PK1230x6d65…3781 | Yes | 25,000 | 1.3¢ | $138 | Losing−$5.68 per $100 · 1,488 bets |
| Bulan0xb220…b07c | Yes | 24,217 | 0.7¢ | $133 | — |
| 0x0819…c6c6 | No | 130 | 98.8¢ | $129 | New14 settled bets |
| 643d3340x02ea…6cbb | No | 127 | 98.9¢ | $126 | New12 settled bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | 22,222 | 0.5¢ | $122 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 5,414 bets |
| 000930xab29…7062 | No | 122 | 98.0¢ | $122 | — |
| 0xe3ff…805c | Yes | 22,000 | 0.5¢ | $121 | — |
| 77jg0x3b9e…3842 | No | 120 | 98.8¢ | $119 | New7 settled bets |
| 0xbe47…1560 | No | 116 | 99.5¢ | $116 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 20,999 | 0.7¢ | $115 | Positive+$12.20 per $100 · 3,932 bets |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 20,795 | 0.7¢ | $114 | New41 settled bets |
| 88997j0x6db5…51c8 | No | 114 | 98.8¢ | $113 | New3 settled bets |
| flowerQ0xefa5…f7d0 | No | 113 | 98.8¢ | $113 | — |
| moonboi1010xddae…8ee2 | Yes | 20,001 | 1.2¢ | $110 | New62 settled bets |
| ujhh70xbd57…cec0 | No | 109 | 98.8¢ | $108 | — |
| 0xd646…2953 | No | 101 | 98.7¢ | $101 | — |
| aSDAFD210x52dd…d79f | No | 101 | 98.8¢ | $101 | New94 settled bets |
| 305s0x129a…c44a | No | 101 | 98.8¢ | $101 | Proven+$74.21 per $100 · 551 bets |
| lookcare0x84f6…14cc | No | 100 | 99.0¢ | $99 | — |
| Karbovanets0x89e8…0af7 | Yes | 17,241 | 0.9¢ | $95 | — |
| JHG84550xaa6a…cf92 | No | 92 | 99.5¢ | $92 | — |
| 0x4009…d7aa | No | 89 | 98.8¢ | $89 | New8 settled bets |
| 0x63bd…5819 | No | 84 | 98.0¢ | $84 | New10 settled bets |
| iijfu0xa642…a650 | No | 84 | 99.3¢ | $83 | — |
| NM33XX0x2470…e977 | No | 83 | 98.8¢ | $83 | New8 settled bets |
| 6DFDW230xc0fa…c297 | No | 82 | 98.8¢ | $82 | — |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | Yes | 14,444 | 0.7¢ | $79 | Positive+$3.46 per $100 · 888 bets |
| 0xf16b…bfb5 | No | 79 | 99.1¢ | $79 | — |
| 3RFEDFE0xc0ca…4c32 | No | 79 | 98.8¢ | $78 | — |
| YE33560x9123…43f9 | No | 79 | 98.8¢ | $78 | — |
| 765640xfe8e…d08d | No | 77 | 98.8¢ | $77 | — |
| 9DKD34330xb82a…e70c | No | 77 | 98.9¢ | $77 | — |
| ggg440xbd73…c61c | No | 77 | 99.6¢ | $77 | — |
| 45ffd0xbbc1…cc45 | No | 75 | 98.0¢ | $75 | — |
| Applesider0x042d…bcc1 | Yes | 13,435 | 0.8¢ | $74 | New0 settled bets |
| LS5CCFV0xd5b3…b37b | No | 74 | 98.8¢ | $74 | — |
| 0x915b…ced1 | No | 74 | 98.8¢ | $74 | — |
| 567D20x9f32…2c14 | No | 74 | 98.8¢ | $73 | — |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 13,331 | 0.4¢ | $73 | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| CVBDFGNNB0xba00…841e | No | 73 | 99.1¢ | $72 | — |
| 5dd550x9c19…3d4c | No | 71 | 98.0¢ | $71 | — |
| Aquar7770xa0ed…09de | No | 70 | 99.6¢ | $70 | — |
| realdi0x1c65…acd6 | No | 70 | 99.1¢ | $70 | New99 settled bets |
| IGBV5660xd835…3df6 | No | 67 | 98.8¢ | $67 | — |
| poos0xd99b…7549 | No | 66 | 98.8¢ | $66 | — |
| fdssgts0x4913…a06d | No | 63 | 99.5¢ | $62 | New17 settled bets |
| 0x3913…f0a1 | No | 61 | 98.8¢ | $61 | New8 settled bets |
| 6ffd33d0x14fc…0458 | No | 61 | 98.9¢ | $61 | New11 settled bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 9,535 | 0.8¢ | $52 | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| 0xc10c…9bb3 | Yes | 6,706 | 1.0¢ | $37 | New32 settled bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 5,728 | 0.6¢ | $32 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 5,400 | 0.8¢ | $30 | Positive+$136.59 per $100 · 601 bets |
| grishangeles0x43dd…d4b0 | Yes | 5,000 | 1.2¢ | $28 | New28 settled bets |
| Donkov0xbc54…680f | Yes | 5,000 | 0.9¢ | $27 | Proven+$2.18 per $100 · 1,977 bets |
| 0xb7de…b802 | Yes | 4,787 | 0.8¢ | $26 | Proven+$2.99 per $100 · 625 bets |
| FreeCityIndividual0x098e…6fa2 | Yes | 4,405 | 0.8¢ | $24 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 5,150 bets |
| TLfantasy0x56e4…38f1 | Yes | 4,000 | 0.6¢ | $22 | New0 settled bets |
| 0x7298…fcfc | Yes | 3,850 | 0.4¢ | $21 | Positive+$7.47 per $100 · 908 bets |
| failstober0x90ed…b5bc | Yes | 3,711 | 0.7¢ | $20 | Proven+$8.51 per $100 · 1,182 bets |
| jaiumett0x00f1…df41 | Yes | 3,500 | 1.0¢ | $19 | New1 settled bet |
| TheRedChip0xdf6d…9c5c | Yes | 3,254 | 0.7¢ | $18 | Proven+$5.80 per $100 · 1,305 bets |
| Liquidifier0x4818…bf0b | Yes | 3,206 | 0.7¢ | $18 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,668 bets |
| LR10xad28…1601 | Yes | 3,190 | 0.7¢ | $18 | Positive+$2.84 per $100 · 1,226 bets |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 2,990 | 0.7¢ | $16 | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 252,392+ bets · updating |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 2,703 | 0.8¢ | $15 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| GayPride0x551e…b0e0 | Yes | 2,500 | 0.8¢ | $14 | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 967 bets |
| elmana0x5b5e…332e | Yes | 2,322 | 1.2¢ | $13 | Losing−$3.84 per $100 · 689 bets |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 3.57K shares each side · Show
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