Market · 40 of 54 outcomes
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:28 UTC. Not financial advice.
Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.
42 more outcomes in this event.
These 54 outcomes add up to 91.4¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 2 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CV4YS0xe4ad…8c09 | No | 516 | 99.5¢ | $516 | — |
| mmi90xad2c…dfdb | No | 508 | 99.5¢ | $508 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Yes |
| 802,306 |
| 0.6¢ |
| $401 |
| New22 settled bets |
| montgomerysamantha0x53a3…ba00 | No | 209 | 99.9¢ | $209 | — |
| UMYJ0xaeeb…ec8b | No | 137 | 99.3¢ | $136 | — |
| jennifergibbs0x2175…6396 | No | 111 | 99.9¢ | $111 | — |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 89K shares each side · Show
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