Market · 40 of 54 outcomes
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:52 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $63.9M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 2 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CV4YS0xe4ad…8c09 | No | 516 | 99.5¢ | $516 | — |
| mmi90xad2c…dfdb | No | 508 | 99.5¢ | $508 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Yes |
| 802,306 |
| 0.6¢ |
| $401 |
| New22 settled bets |
| montgomerysamantha0x53a3…ba00 | No | 209 | 99.9¢ | $209 | — |
| UMYJ0xaeeb…ec8b | No | 137 | 99.3¢ | $136 | — |
| jennifergibbs0x2175…6396 | No | 111 | 99.9¢ | $111 | New45 settled bets |
| erincurtis0x6153…acc6 | No | 98 | 99.9¢ | $98 | — |
| brittany200xd478…cae3 | No | 85 | 99.9¢ | $85 | — |
| waynegross0x1f6f…dadc | No | 82 | 99.9¢ | $82 | New87 settled bets |
| jimmycoleman0xc100…5520 | No | 82 | 99.8¢ | $82 | — |
| 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | 157,769 | 0.4¢ | $79 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 1,518 bets |
| carly540xf7f1…01b3 | No | 78 | 99.9¢ | $78 | — |
| chad250xf4c2…d553 | No | 66 | 99.8¢ | $66 | — |
| meyersnicholas0x7047…87ee | No | 63 | 99.8¢ | $63 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 122,809 | 0.3¢ | $61 | Positive+$12.21 per $100 · 3,929 bets |
| KKchallenge0xfe03…f14f | Yes | 102,000 | 0.6¢ | $51 | Break-even−$0.56 per $100 · 560 bets |
| wenww0x9205…ca29 | No | 50 | 99.5¢ | $50 | — |
| coo80x99cd…4c5c | No | 45 | 99.3¢ | $45 | — |
| iverson3-9770x2db5…aae8 | No | 40 | 99.4¢ | $40 | Break-even+$0.15 per $100 · 175 bets |
| 5end0x82ff…c12a | No | 40 | 99.4¢ | $40 | — |
| LBJJ0xf05a…61f6 | No | 40 | 99.5¢ | $40 | — |
| bulecome0xcc9e…167e | Yes | 76,000 | 0.1¢ | $38 | — |
| Purmar0xa06d…c088 | No | 36 | 99.4¢ | $36 | — |
| tiktpo0x7fd1…fb6b | No | 33 | 99.5¢ | $33 | — |
| RedStone0x9921…5440 | No | 32 | 99.4¢ | $32 | — |
| aristocles0x1115…f08f | No | 30 | 99.5¢ | $30 | Break-even+$0.59 per $100 · 729 bets |
| GayPride0x551e…b0e0 | Yes | 52,500 | 0.4¢ | $26 | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 967 bets |
| lolr0x1b8f…c65d | No | 25 | 99.5¢ | $25 | Break-even+$0.10 per $100 · 206 bets |
| 084f5b0x50c8…e788 | No | 24 | 99.4¢ | $24 | — |
| tiger55100x3f2d…2adc | Yes | 47,206 | 0.5¢ | $24 | Losing−$1.35 per $100 · 184 bets |
| tiger5550xd600…b66e | Yes | 45,071 | 0.5¢ | $23 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 495 bets |
| 3a440xa7a6…5841 | Yes | 44,800 | 0.9¢ | $22 | — |
| e9540x9723…ac5e | No | 22 | 99.7¢ | $22 | — |
| BlackswanDefi0x28c3…da06 | Yes | 42,857 | 0.7¢ | $21 | Break-even−$0.26 per $100 · 176 bets |
| 0ad50xa2e8…a194 | No | 21 | 99.8¢ | $21 | — |
| 9f8a0x0f9b…f00e | Yes | 39,212 | 0.9¢ | $20 | New42 settled bets |
| 1E136590x79cf…a868 | No | 19 | 99.4¢ | $19 | — |
| d6060x5460…4707 | No | 19 | 99.4¢ | $19 | — |
| 7a953870x9f83…79ba | No | 18 | 99.4¢ | $18 | — |
| Asperatus0x36a7…1aea | Yes | 32,206 | 0.6¢ | $16 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 735 bets |
| oilkuj0x0cc3…9dad | No | 16 | 99.4¢ | $16 | New12 settled bets |
| 0xfc93…c281 | No | 15 | 99.4¢ | $15 | — |
| 0x5c14…4ae4 | No | 15 | 99.4¢ | $15 | — |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 30,320 | 0.8¢ | $15 | Losing−$1.35 per $100 · 16,285 bets |
| sleepy-panda0xa49b…4c40 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.4¢ | $15 | Break-even−$0.60 per $100 · 6,324 bets |
| coolben0x145e…2d67 | No | 15 | 99.5¢ | $15 | Break-even+$0.11 per $100 · 281 bets |
| CalKlein0x4965…02bc | No | 15 | 99.4¢ | $15 | — |
| hiteheadbb0x6eb8…db23 | No | 15 | 99.4¢ | $15 | — |
| 0xd6b8…ff87 | No | 15 | 99.4¢ | $15 | — |
| 84e00x4f92…7fa4 | Yes | 28,736 | 0.9¢ | $14 | — |
| CoffeeLover0xc1b3…501c | Yes | 28,701 | 0.7¢ | $14 | Positive+$6.49 per $100 · 2,902 bets |
| 0x8d31…bcea | No | 14 | 99.4¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x2b84…eca8 | No | 14 | 99.4¢ | $14 | New26 settled bets |
| 0xed55…4986 | No | 14 | 99.4¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x040c…4561 | No | 14 | 99.4¢ | $14 | New28 settled bets |
| 0x0a6e…33f4 | Yes | 27,900 | 0.8¢ | $14 | New8 settled bets |
| 0x8dce…0cfa | No | 14 | 99.4¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x148f…b774 | No | 14 | 99.4¢ | $14 | New29 settled bets |
| 0xa5b3…a64b | No | 14 | 99.4¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x7016…6e8e | No | 13 | 99.4¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x0e20…de1c | No | 13 | 99.4¢ | $13 | New19 settled bets |
| 0x459b…0662 | No | 13 | 99.4¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x766a…8c83 | No | 13 | 99.4¢ | $13 | — |
| e4A350x1ad1…7c88 | No | 13 | 99.8¢ | $13 | — |
| RaymondVan0x5677…2ce9 | Yes | 25,410 | 0.6¢ | $13 | Losing−$4.16 per $100 · 748 bets |
| RobXK0x60b2…3cce | Yes | 25,000 | 0.7¢ | $13 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 2,750 bets |
| pizzaallosqualo0x801b…e036 | Yes | 23,687 | 0.5¢ | $12 | Positive+$9.96 per $100 · 180 bets |
| Cb380xe389…3d7e | Yes | 23,331 | 0.9¢ | $12 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 23,246 | 0.6¢ | $12 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,584 bets |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 22,800 | 0.8¢ | $11 | Positive+$136.59 per $100 · 601 bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 21,063 | 0.8¢ | $11 | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 20,795 | 0.7¢ | $10 | New41 settled bets |
| tugator0x0c26…d223 | Yes | 20,000 | 0.8¢ | $10 | Losing−$2.28 per $100 · 6,744 bets |
| 8hhujd0x4198…ae38 | Yes | 18,290 | 0.8¢ | $9 | New51 settled bets |
| 86ee0x549c…9e7c | Yes | 17,333 | 0.9¢ | $9 | — |
| zkvo0x03b3…e865 | Yes | 16,666 | 0.6¢ | $8 | New41 settled bets |
| 1212sd30xac50…c3f1 | Yes | 15,604 | 0.9¢ | $8 | — |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | Yes | 14,444 | 0.7¢ | $7 | Positive+$3.46 per $100 · 888 bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 14,280 | 0.7¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| 014a0x462e…55f3 | Yes | 14,000 | 0.9¢ | $7 | — |
| ad660xada2…dfb9 | Yes | 13,909 | 0.9¢ | $7 | — |
| 141f0xd770…658b | Yes | 13,847 | 0.9¢ | $7 | — |
| 18150x58ad…f2a8 | Yes | 13,556 | 0.9¢ | $7 | — |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 13,331 | 0.4¢ | $7 | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| f8d20x1b20…ad0e | Yes | 12,770 | 0.9¢ | $6 | New63 settled bets |
| HHYYX0x4e96…46e4 | Yes | 12,300 | 0.8¢ | $6 | — |
| f5e00x9a23…2288 | Yes | 12,277 | 0.9¢ | $6 | — |
| 003a0x1931…2aef | Yes | 12,221 | 0.9¢ | $6 | New35 settled bets |
| bcb90x722c…7c92 | Yes | 12,157 | 0.9¢ | $6 | — |
| bb000xfa2d…10bc | Yes | 11,861 | 0.9¢ | $6 | — |
| fddf0x929e…57e5 | Yes | 11,839 | 0.9¢ | $6 | — |
| c0c70x53f3…a357 | Yes | 11,822 | 0.9¢ | $6 | — |
| 82b70xfa09…d33e | Yes | 11,669 | 0.9¢ | $6 | — |
| jjuu70x7653…8235 | Yes | 11,488 | 0.8¢ | $6 | — |
| Zypf70x7243…83f0 | Yes | 11,166 | 0.1¢ | $6 | — |
| SIRIWARDHANA0x712a…270e | Yes | 3 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 89K shares each side · Show
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