Market · 30 of 54 outcomes
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:12 UTC. Not financial advice.
42 more outcomes in this event.
These 54 outcomes add up to 91.5¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 7 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| keinanung0xd720…5eb8 | No | 1,510 | 99.0¢ | $1.51K | New0 settled bets |
| gibbonomics0x6725…4038 | No | 1,257 | 99.3¢ | $1.25K | New |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| JustCrazy0xc21e…0215 | Yes | 716,872 | 0.1¢ | $1.08K | Positive+$6.92 per $100 · 1,770 bets |
| koshbaby0x9f80…ea2d | No | 1,061 | 99.0¢ | $1.06K | Proven+$2.71 per $100 · 197 bets |
| operationcastle0xd3a6…fd55 | No | 1,060 | 98.3¢ | $1.06K | Proven+$16.97 per $100 · 1,137 bets |
| vigfood4040xd57b…daf2 | No | 1,046 | 99.9¢ | $1.04K | New20 settled bets |
7 accounts bet both sides equally · 76.4K shares each side · Show
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