Market · 16 of 54 outcomes
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 13:11 UTC. Not financial advice.
42 more outcomes in this event.
These 54 outcomes add up to 91.6¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 9 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| tourists0xc6dd…4b9f | No | 8,023 | 96.8¢ | $7.92K | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 929 bets |
| zb80x0224…292a | No | 6,922 | 96.3¢ | $6.84K | Positive |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| pegfault0x4a23…079f | No | 5,000 | 96.6¢ | $4.94K | New67 settled bets |
| operationcastle0xd3a6…fd55 | No | 3,676 | 97.1¢ | $3.63K | Proven+$16.97 per $100 · 1,137 bets |
| 0x80c0…ed95 | Yes | 273,380 | 3.6¢ | $3.42K | New8 settled bets |
| darkrider110x82a1…e03a | Yes | 254,799 | 5.0¢ | $3.18K | New74 settled bets |
9 accounts bet both sides equally · 321K shares each side · Show
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