Market · 15 of 54 outcomes
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 02:03 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 15 events · $62.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 9 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| tourists0xc6dd…4b9f | No | 8,023 | 96.8¢ | $7.92K | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 929 bets |
| zb80x0224…292a | No | 6,922 | 96.3¢ | $6.84K | Positive |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| pegfault0x4a23…079f | No | 5,000 | 96.6¢ | $4.94K | New67 settled bets |
| operationcastle0xd3a6…fd55 | No | 3,676 | 97.1¢ | $3.63K | Proven+$16.97 per $100 · 1,137 bets |
| 0x80c0…ed95 | Yes | 273,380 | 3.6¢ | $3.42K | New8 settled bets |
| darkrider110x82a1…e03a | Yes | 254,799 | 5.0¢ | $3.18K | New74 settled bets |
| escapingthemaze0x9fdf…8029 | No | 3,000 | 95.8¢ | $2.96K | New10 settled bets |
| J-E-R0x612f…aa53 | No | 2,700 | 96.9¢ | $2.67K | Proven+$13.40 per $100 · 625 bets |
| juicejuice0xafa1…6fc8 | No | 2,048 | 97.4¢ | $2.02K | — |
| imakebigbets0x09e3…48ac | No | 1,700 | 94.4¢ | $1.68K | Break-even+$0.06 per $100 · 440 bets |
| ED999990xdf17…97d1 | Yes | 121,097 | 1.1¢ | $1.51K | Proven+$3.47 per $100 · 1,717 bets |
| larpol0x7551…b6b1 | Yes | 108,869 | 2.9¢ | $1.36K | Losing−$14.91 per $100 · 124 bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 100,762 | 0.5¢ | $1.26K | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,661 bets |
| zhangjiarui0x92d5…52b9 | Yes | 98,125 | 2.2¢ | $1.23K | — |
| NailZH0x3bf3…684c | Yes | 81,277 | 1.6¢ | $1.02K | New2 settled bets |
| i4000xa18c…d792 | No | 1,000 | 98.0¢ | $988 | Proven+$2.81 per $100 · 776 bets |
| 0x7caa…734f | No | 1,000 | 95.8¢ | $987 | New50 settled bets |
| flamingfish0x217e…3a4c | No | 828 | 95.2¢ | $818 | Break-even+$0.11 per $100 · 355 bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 65,013 | 0.8¢ | $813 | Losing−$1.35 per $100 · 16,359 bets |
| JosephTrump0x97af…9bc6 | No | 800 | 96.7¢ | $790 | Positive+$1.25 per $100 · 470 bets |
| 0x0742…1b48 | Yes | 59,369 | 2.2¢ | $742 | New19 settled bets |
| mattydegen0x87dd…2af7 | Yes | 58,664 | 1.8¢ | $733 | New14 settled bets |
| daojones0xcd29…fd24 | Yes | 56,938 | 2.7¢ | $712 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 387 bets |
| CanadaWithPP0x6328…9241 | Yes | 50,556 | 4.0¢ | $632 | New19 settled bets |
| Midnight694200x0238…2d8c | Yes | 49,213 | 1.7¢ | $615 | New2 settled bets |
| Fermatter0x0d09…dd55 | No | 600 | 98.4¢ | $593 | Positive+$1.35 per $100 · 2,822 bets |
| WhatTheBet0xb2bf…f5ad | Yes | 46,883 | 2.8¢ | $586 | — |
| 0x4cd6…f74b | Yes | 42,892 | 2.4¢ | $536 | New3 settled bets |
| honzagonza0x5d60…0912 | Yes | 41,384 | 1.8¢ | $517 | New5 settled bets |
| mdaaaaa0xdaf7…1645 | No | 522 | 98.7¢ | $515 | — |
| Randomizer10x3413…a359 | No | 500 | 97.3¢ | $494 | New54 settled bets |
| kyskyskyskys0xb39b…b602 | No | 500 | 97.7¢ | $494 | New18 settled bets |
| Hosei0x1eca…3a06 | No | 490 | 96.2¢ | $484 | Proven+$8.49 per $100 · 284 bets |
| botnot0x7816…ce35 | Yes | 37,821 | 2.3¢ | $473 | Losing−$24.95 per $100 · 112 bets |
| base-reward-hanter0x6f24…1f63 | No | 460 | 98.5¢ | $454 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 217 bets |
| dobar0x0753…c6aa | Yes | 32,233 | 2.2¢ | $403 | New85 settled bets |
| lranon2nd0x396f…7f78 | Yes | 30,000 | 2.1¢ | $375 | Proven+$2.17 per $100 · 756 bets |
| sleepy-panda0xa49b…4c40 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.4¢ | $375 | Break-even−$0.60 per $100 · 6,324 bets |
| BulkaeD0x0b18…e6bc | Yes | 29,658 | 2.6¢ | $371 | New32 settled bets |
| srpmktwhw0x831b…eed5 | Yes | 29,458 | 3.4¢ | $368 | Proven+$4.56 per $100 · 285 bets |
| Assman690xaa2e…b1fd | No | 358 | 97.9¢ | $353 | — |
| 0xwhitelotus0x724b…0724 | Yes | 26,316 | 3.8¢ | $329 | New0 settled bets |
| trump29260x0b74…f1ff | Yes | 25,568 | 2.8¢ | $320 | New3 settled bets |
| AWAS0x3dff…d310 | No | 322 | 96.4¢ | $318 | New17 settled bets |
| 0xcdlambjrrt0lk1en0js1mps0nipda1lyjfk0x52c2…0556 | Yes | 25,004 | 0.6¢ | $313 | New22 settled bets |
| TigerL0xe269…5af6 | Yes | 23,480 | 3.3¢ | $293 | — |
| scorp02120x778b…4e2d | Yes | 22,247 | 1.8¢ | $278 | New67 settled bets |
| emperod0x766e…699f | Yes | 20,445 | 2.2¢ | $256 | Losing−$7.47 per $100 · 152 bets |
| propheticCowboy0x3789…9e51 | Yes | 20,013 | 2.1¢ | $250 | New12 settled bets |
| TheYoutuber0x5036…416b | Yes | 20,000 | 2.7¢ | $250 | Break-even−$0.05 per $100 · 3,377 bets |
| lastminwin0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | 20,000 | 1.9¢ | $250 | New6 settled bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 20,000 | 0.7¢ | $250 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,309 bets |
| Green0x220a…923b | Yes | 19,676 | 2.9¢ | $246 | Proven+$14.05 per $100 · 101 bets |
| 0x4974…130c | Yes | 19,257 | 2.6¢ | $241 | New7 settled bets |
| TradeDeficitArchitect0x477f…19aa | Yes | 19,163 | 3.1¢ | $240 | Proven+$6.37 per $100 · 2,801 bets |
| zucky0xb29c…0e87 | Yes | 18,916 | 5.3¢ | $236 | — |
| PLME0x2d3b…f573 | No | 229 | 96.3¢ | $226 | Losing−$3.20 per $100 · 144 bets |
| Scott20986540x8ba4…ca1f | No | 213 | 98.6¢ | $211 | — |
| ttgogopuppi0xbae0…8e57 | Yes | 16,800 | 1.2¢ | $210 | — |
| 0x4ea0…536f | Yes | 16,467 | 1.6¢ | $206 | New7 settled bets |
| Sofia45550x6d1b…181c | No | 204 | 98.2¢ | $201 | New50 settled bets |
| Ondra0x849c…4009 | Yes | 15,811 | 1.8¢ | $198 | Break-even+$0.58 per $100 · 5,303 bets |
| Eia0x166a…d7ed | Yes | 15,811 | 0.7¢ | $198 | Proven+$5.89 per $100 · 1,215 bets |
| notworthit0x1b3f…b538 | No | 200 | 98.6¢ | $198 | New21 settled bets |
| Queermo0x5bc8…466c | Yes | 15,348 | 2.2¢ | $192 | New31 settled bets |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 15,240 | 0.7¢ | $190 | New41 settled bets |
| shudd0x6884…417c | Yes | 15,236 | 1.3¢ | $190 | Break-even−$0.86 per $100 · 357 bets |
| G45p3R0xffd5…32f8 | Yes | 14,989 | 2.8¢ | $187 | — |
| Arkusf0xcf8f…f939 | Yes | 14,652 | 4.0¢ | $183 | — |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | Yes | 14,444 | 0.7¢ | $181 | Positive+$3.46 per $100 · 888 bets |
| ChetterHummin0xc406…07d9 | No | 179 | 97.3¢ | $177 | — |
| DiamondDog0x3ea0…313b | Yes | 13,990 | 4.3¢ | $175 | New7 settled bets |
| 0x5f50…24e9 | No | 160 | 96.8¢ | $158 | New25 settled bets |
| 0xbe15…8a1f | No | 128 | 97.0¢ | $126 | — |
| 0x1672…a7ec | No | 125 | 98.8¢ | $123 | New9 settled bets |
| mystery0x323d…781c | No | 120 | 98.7¢ | $119 | Proven+$2.80 per $100 · 680 bets |
| 0x15b3…ace6 | No | 116 | 98.8¢ | $115 | New14 settled bets |
| varch010x0362…449e | No | 105 | 95.2¢ | $104 | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 13,129 bets |
| robinhoodnoob20250xe529…245d | No | 105 | 95.5¢ | $103 | — |
| goowk0xf48b…7bfb | No | 105 | 95.6¢ | $103 | — |
| tinappanit0x51df…0fca | No | 103 | 96.8¢ | $102 | New56 settled bets |
| cicamica0x6870…8a17 | No | 103 | 97.5¢ | $101 | Losing−$2.29 per $100 · 136 bets |
| Childoftheatom0x6374…0449 | No | 100 | 97.8¢ | $99 | New45 settled bets |
| 0x65b5…54c9 | No | 100 | 98.0¢ | $99 | New46 settled bets |
| 0xc832…215e | No | 100 | 98.3¢ | $99 | — |
| honduraslover0xaff3…6ecc | No | 87 | 97.5¢ | $86 | Losing−$5.79 per $100 · 17,393 bets |
| 0x5dda…01a6 | No | 80 | 96.8¢ | $79 | Break-even−$0.21 per $100 · 107 bets |
| tugator0x0c26…d223 | Yes | 4,914 | 0.8¢ | $61 | Losing−$2.30 per $100 · 6,750 bets |
9 accounts bet both sides equally · 321K shares each side · Show
|