Market · 22 of 54 outcomes
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.
42 more outcomes in this event.
These 54 outcomes add up to 91.6¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| tugator0x0c26…d223 | No | 22,500 | 99.3¢ | $22.4K | Losing−$2.28 per $100 · 6,744 bets |
| pizzabillgates0xa771…162d | Yes | 593,524 | 1.0¢ | $3.26K | New15 settled bets |
| 0x7a04…4d28 | No | 2,061 | 99.2¢ | $2.05K | — |
| fed260xaf45…ec7d | Yes | 340,982 | 0.9¢ | $1.88K | New30 settled bets |
| 0x12f7…a032 | Yes | 305,271 | 1.2¢ | $1.68K | — |
| WERTY-3390xa825…0a4c | No | 1,407 | 99.5¢ | $1.4K | — |
3 accounts bet both sides equally · 214 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.