Market · 22 of 54 outcomes
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:04 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| tugator0x0c26…d223 | No | 22,500 | 99.3¢ | $22.4K | Losing−$2.30 per $100 · 6,748 bets |
| pizzabillgates0xa771…162d | Yes | 593,524 | 1.0¢ | $3.26K | New15 settled bets |
| 0x7a04…4d28 | No | 2,061 | 99.2¢ | $2.05K | New3 settled bets |
| fed260xaf45…ec7d | Yes | 340,982 | 0.9¢ | $1.88K | New30 settled bets |
| 0x12f7…a032 | Yes | 305,271 | 1.2¢ | $1.68K | New0 settled bets |
| 0x0824…8f3c | No | 1,315 | 98.9¢ | $1.31K | New0 settled bets |
| Avatar0x3954…91c4 | No | 1,279 | 99.5¢ | $1.27K | — |
| 0x10ee…585e | No | 1,256 | 98.9¢ | $1.25K | New1 settled bet |
| DonaldPumpJr0x4b4b…cbf7 | Yes | 200,000 | 0.9¢ | $1.1K | New3 settled bets |
| 0x0a57…d891 | No | 872 | 99.1¢ | $867 | New4 settled bets |
| 0xcdlambjrrt0lk1en0js1mps0nipda1lyjfk0x52c2…0556 | Yes | 153,637 | 0.6¢ | $845 | New22 settled bets |
| 0x76c8…6159 | No | 824 | 98.9¢ | $819 | New4 settled bets |
| 0xd79b…9590 | No | 784 | 99.2¢ | $779 | — |
| 0x7d53…14bc | No | 719 | 98.9¢ | $715 | New1 settled bet |
| 0x7cd8…8ccc | No | 709 | 99.0¢ | $705 | New5 settled bets |
| 0xa34b…19bf | No | 699 | 99.0¢ | $696 | — |
| 0x92ae…12c1 | No | 699 | 98.9¢ | $695 | — |
| LetThereBeQE10x4a71…35d0 | Yes | 119,253 | 0.6¢ | $656 | New36 settled bets |
| 0x5670…1888 | No | 592 | 98.9¢ | $589 | New1 settled bet |
| 0xf88d…c69c | No | 575 | 99.0¢ | $572 | — |
| 0x4f61…78b4 | No | 564 | 98.9¢ | $561 | New5 settled bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 100,891 | 0.7¢ | $555 | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| gandalf0x21f9…ed12 | Yes | 100,000 | 1.3¢ | $550 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,386 bets |
| aznjn00x017c…674c | No | 548 | 99.2¢ | $545 | New18 settled bets |
| 0x7830…cdba | No | 503 | 98.9¢ | $501 | New5 settled bets |
| 0xfc1f…41ea | No | 332 | 98.9¢ | $330 | — |
| Stormmere0x1a76…a46f | No | 300 | 99.1¢ | $298 | New18 settled bets |
| DapperChapper0xf8cc…5a82 | Yes | 50,000 | 1.2¢ | $275 | Positive+$1.49 per $100 · 1,104 bets |
| DavidShekel0x5452…d448 | Yes | 41,456 | 48.7¢ | $228 | Positive+$3.47 per $100 · 5,121 bets |
| Ohayo0x555c…dc37 | No | 220 | 99.2¢ | $219 | Break-even+$0.19 per $100 · 431 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 220 | 99.0¢ | $219 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,945 bets |
| Christianssa0xae6a…4b53 | No | 211 | 99.4¢ | $210 | — |
| BlackswanDefi0x28c3…da06 | Yes | 36,950 | 1.4¢ | $203 | Break-even−$0.26 per $100 · 176 bets |
| iuu0xeba1…441e | No | 196 | 50.0¢ | $195 | — |
| 0x53b6…9e53 | Yes | 33,838 | 1.3¢ | $186 | New1 settled bet |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | 30,340 | 0.4¢ | $167 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 5,415 bets |
| sleepy-panda0xa49b…4c40 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.4¢ | $165 | Break-even−$0.60 per $100 · 6,324 bets |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | 29,764 | 1.1¢ | $164 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,268 bets |
| atoutlemonde0xec34…d61e | Yes | 25,914 | 0.5¢ | $143 | Losing−$5.39 per $100 · 6,142 bets |
| RaymondVan0x5677…2ce9 | Yes | 24,027 | 0.5¢ | $132 | Losing−$4.16 per $100 · 748 bets |
| 0x6661…a18d | No | 133 | 99.0¢ | $132 | New15 settled bets |
| 0x0258…857a | No | 132 | 98.9¢ | $131 | New18 settled bets |
| GayPride0x551e…b0e0 | Yes | 23,416 | 0.4¢ | $129 | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 967 bets |
| yellowman80x9d6d…e803 | Yes | 23,400 | 0.9¢ | $129 | — |
| tnl0xb619…5068 | Yes | 21,988 | 1.1¢ | $121 | Break-even+$0.97 per $100 · 1,243 bets |
| Quan6660xc041…ba3f | Yes | 21,530 | 0.5¢ | $118 | — |
| occasionalAwareness0x8a4c…532b | Yes | 18,785 | 1.8¢ | $103 | Proven+$3.04 per $100 · 2,447 bets |
| OkaneKasegu0x5d74…ee45 | No | 100 | 97.9¢ | $99 | Positive+$1.35 per $100 · 710 bets |
| happy1630x7783…6d3f | No | 100 | 98.9¢ | $99 | New97 settled bets |
| chloe130xa187…f03a | No | 100 | 99.6¢ | $99 | — |
| joel250xfab0…3f4e | No | 99 | 99.6¢ | $98 | — |
| johnroberson0xa756…a1f9 | No | 98 | 99.6¢ | $97 | — |
| fgbh540x3df2…067f | No | 97 | 99.1¢ | $97 | New35 settled bets |
| 0xa33b…d54f | No | 97 | 99.6¢ | $96 | — |
| audreymoore0xf5e1…d044 | No | 92 | 99.6¢ | $91 | — |
| tfranco0x0406…ea90 | No | 90 | 99.6¢ | $90 | New44 settled bets |
| dominicvega0xdde2…e5e6 | No | 89 | 99.6¢ | $89 | — |
| taramora0x042c…cc7d | No | 86 | 99.6¢ | $86 | New68 settled bets |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 15,240 | 0.7¢ | $84 | New41 settled bets |
| darleneknight0x6ce5…82a9 | No | 83 | 99.1¢ | $83 | New69 settled bets |
| williambowen0xdcaa…ae17 | No | 83 | 99.6¢ | $83 | — |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | Yes | 14,444 | 0.7¢ | $79 | Positive+$3.46 per $100 · 888 bets |
| mirandaerin0x85f6…4ac2 | No | 79 | 99.6¢ | $79 | — |
| nicholasdalton0x7538…3076 | No | 75 | 99.6¢ | $75 | New69 settled bets |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 13,331 | 0.4¢ | $73 | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| rcline0xd049…58a6 | No | 73 | 99.6¢ | $73 | — |
| 0xc48b…608b | No | 70 | 98.9¢ | $70 | — |
| rebekah710x256e…dc86 | No | 70 | 99.6¢ | $70 | New80 settled bets |
| TomekPok0xd9eb…a073 | No | 70 | 99.2¢ | $70 | — |
| utucker0x202d…aeea | No | 68 | 99.6¢ | $68 | New62 settled bets |
| drippyeth0xbf7f…bb65 | Yes | 12,012 | 1.2¢ | $66 | — |
| gz999990xcaae…3c3d | Yes | 12,000 | 1.4¢ | $66 | — |
| 0x364b…9e51 | No | 65 | 98.9¢ | $65 | New10 settled bets |
| AdeleMorselli0x9213…0db7 | No | 65 | 98.8¢ | $64 | — |
| 0x494c…c75e | Yes | 10,411 | 1.2¢ | $57 | New56 settled bets |
| 0x4372…6a96 | Yes | 10,000 | 1.0¢ | $55 | Losing−$8.56 per $100 · 341 bets |
| Wokchiu0xbd1f…e26e | Yes | 10,000 | 1.2¢ | $55 | — |
| memik0xef3f…9560 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.9¢ | $55 | — |
| 0x6668…be1c | Yes | 9,998 | 0.6¢ | $55 | New35 settled bets |
| web3vc0xd413…ce5f | Yes | 9,145 | 1.3¢ | $50 | — |
| pp320xb512…30fb | Yes | 8,889 | 0.9¢ | $49 | New8 settled bets |
| RonWoW0xc3c9…c189 | Yes | 8,809 | 1.1¢ | $48 | — |
| COUBEHHH0x0f3c…d55c | Yes | 7,962 | 1.0¢ | $44 | New55 settled bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 6,630 | 0.7¢ | $36 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| TigerL0xe269…5af6 | Yes | 6,000 | 1.0¢ | $33 | — |
| striderincity0x260d…fbc2 | Yes | 5,678 | 1.4¢ | $31 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 681 bets |
| f2kus0xdcf8…93c6 | Yes | 5,555 | 1.0¢ | $31 | — |
| dontstopmenow0xe43d…4196 | Yes | 5,365 | 1.0¢ | $30 | — |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 5,188 | 0.8¢ | $29 | Positive+$121.33 per $100 · 627 bets |
| 0x5bc4…f44f | Yes | 5,151 | 1.3¢ | $28 | Losing−$1.31 per $100 · 3,209 bets |
| 0x7744…23f2 | Yes | 5,009 | 1.2¢ | $28 | Losing−$9.37 per $100 · 499 bets |
| bloodmoney640x9cb7…d9b8 | Yes | 5,000 | 1.1¢ | $28 | — |
| nashen0xefab…b927 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.9¢ | $28 | — |
| 0x16cb…2704 | Yes | 4,997 | 1.1¢ | $27 | Proven+$2.02 per $100 · 7,120 bets |
| Hjklm0xff4b…d019 | Yes | 4,750 | 1.2¢ | $26 | Positive+$4.15 per $100 · 11,945 bets |
| AntonDor0xfd82…342b | Yes | 4,499 | 1.0¢ | $25 | — |
| 0xe2fc…b941 | Yes | 4,458 | 1.1¢ | $25 | — |
3 accounts bet both sides equally · 214 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.