Market · 13 of 15 outcomes
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:39 UTC. Not financial advice.
3 more outcomes in this event.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
13 proven traders are on Yes, 11 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| God0xc701…920e | No | 20,782 | 58.2¢ | $17.1K | — |
| xoua0xda3f…c282 | No | 20,000 | 78.0¢ | $16.5K | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| No |
| 16,080 |
| 68.4¢ |
| $13.3K |
| New2 settled bets |
| Artets0x8bfe…c44d | No | 15,866 | 51.2¢ | $13.1K | — |
| WzapS0x32b4…7f09 | No | 10,534 | 69.7¢ | $8.69K | New12 settled bets |
| BigBusinessPro0x71b5…1231 | No | 9,515 | 64.0¢ | $7.85K | New1 settled bet |