Market · 4 of 15 outcomes
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by September 30, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:39 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GenaCyberpunk0x816f…ace1 | Yes | 207 | 58.1¢ | $127 | New1 settled bet |
| newnewuser0x1dd1…a156 | Yes | 193 | 62.0¢ | $119 | Break-even+$0.65 per $100 · 737 bets |
| 0x0959…6c45 | No | 265 | 37.7¢ | $102 | — |
| 0x36da…907b | Yes | 90 | 63.0¢ | $56 | Losing−$1.36 per $100 · 394 bets |
| uzurpator0x72c5…668e | Yes | 79 | 60.0¢ | $49 | — |
| 0xf9ea…7b04 | No | 102 | 39.9¢ | $39 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
3 more outcomes in this event.