Market · 11 of 15 outcomes
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:42 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KrackenSruster0xd44e…67e2 | No | 2,000 | 67.5¢ | $1.45K | Proven+$10.52 per $100 · 893 bets |
| 0xbfc3…4425 | No | 1,417 | 70.5¢ | $1.03K | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| No |
| 1,055 |
| 78.3¢ |
| $765 |
| Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,257 bets |
| k7scooter0x3f39…3318 | No | 650 | 64.8¢ | $471 | — |
| SuperTests0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | 1,467 | 27.7¢ | $403 | Proven+$3.40 per $100 · 1,020 bets |
| Trading4Fridge0x2525…b919 | Yes | 1,312 | 21.8¢ | $361 | — |
3 more outcomes in this event.