Market · 7 of 15 outcomes
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:36 UTC. Not financial advice.
3 more outcomes in this event.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
10 proven traders are on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| siick0xf9b7…60a4 | No | 11,826 | 45.0¢ | $5.79K | Proven+$3.60 per $100 · 1,967 bets |
| Hakei.0x97ea…3363 | Yes | 9,231 | 54.3¢ | $4.71K | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| SirHarryOakes0x5685…62e2 | No | 4,242 | 49.0¢ | $2.08K | Proven+$5.58 per $100 · 297 bets |
| lostapiv0x4655…b1bc | Yes | 3,786 | 52.9¢ | $1.93K | — |
| 0x06d3…b956 | No | 2,470 | 43.1¢ | $1.21K | — |
| JoeBlack010x9ca1…13b5 | No | 1,882 | 40.6¢ | $922 | Proven+$2.66 per $100 · 1,116 bets |