Market · 1 of 15 outcomes
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 20:23 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| tsybka0xd5cc…dea4 | Yes | 18,397 | 69.4¢ | $13K | Positive+$1.11 per $100 · 943 bets |
| Voland67770xc23e…6499 | No | 9,761 | 30.0¢ | $2.88K | New |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | No | 8,423 | 28.8¢ | $2.48K | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 10,253 bets |
| 0x0456…c88a | Yes | 2,355 | 70.0¢ | $1.66K | — |
| trader-05ddbe2e0x05dd…305c | Yes | 2,078 | 72.0¢ | $1.47K | Break-even−$0.55 per $100 · 19,460 bets |
| ihorkoval0xbc48…47bb | No | 4,633 | 33.8¢ | $1.37K | — |
3 more outcomes in this event.