Market · 2 of 15 outcomes
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:52 UTC. Not financial advice.
3 more outcomes in this event.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x36da…907b | Yes | 1,422 | 66.9¢ | $967 | Losing−$1.36 per $100 · 394 bets |
| newnewuser0x1dd1…a156 | No | 1,021 | 33.0¢ | $327 | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| SuperTests0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | 355 | 63.4¢ | $241 | Proven+$3.40 per $100 · 1,020 bets |
| accelarated0x39df…644b | No | 353 | 35.4¢ | $113 | Losing−$2.03 per $100 · 388 bets |
| Crayon0xc95c…5e0b | No | 120 | 34.1¢ | $38 | — |
| 0xf9ea…7b04 | No | 116 | 34.5¢ | $37 | — |