Market · 12 of 15 outcomes
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:40 UTC. Not financial advice.
3 more outcomes in this event.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | 17,874 | 28.0¢ | $4.2K | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,257 bets |
| zynxs0x9772…a418 | No | 3,180 | 72.2¢ | $2.43K | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| SuperTests0xf3fa…7be3 |
| No |
| 2,662 |
| 68.9¢ |
| $2.04K |
| Proven+$3.40 per $100 · 1,020 bets |
| cat-dog0x7056…c95c | No | 2,500 | 72.3¢ | $1.91K | Positive+$21.47 per $100 · 139 bets |
| Te0n20xd950…ad1b | No | 2,291 | 69.6¢ | $1.75K | Proven+$3.06 per $100 · 3,908 bets |
| tr10000x8a8b…375c | No | 2,000 | 78.0¢ | $1.53K | Losing−$2.06 per $100 · 6,303 bets |