Market · 6 of 15 outcomes
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:40 UTC. Not financial advice.
3 more outcomes in this event.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Te0n20xd950…ad1b | Yes | 620 | 55.4¢ | $335 | Proven+$3.06 per $100 · 3,908 bets |
| unsecured73080xe0d9…8483 | No | 480 | 41.5¢ | $221 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Gluckyklucky0x97d3…3f3c |
| Yes |
| 192 |
| 52.9¢ |
| $103 |
| — |
| George3d60x4522…20c5 | No | 184 | 49.0¢ | $85 | — |
| Yles0xdd4d…a125 | No | 132 | 47.1¢ | $61 | — |
| p0l780x66c6…24af | No | 128 | 46.8¢ | $59 | — |