Market · 8 of 15 outcomes
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:29 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CORWIL0x3c67…e1a8 | Yes | 3,000 | 49.9¢ | $1.44K | New76 settled bets |
| 0x36da…907b | No | 1,954 | 53.7¢ | $1.02K | Losing |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| SuperTests0xf3fa…7be3 | No | 1,067 | 50.7¢ | $555 | Proven+$3.40 per $100 · 1,020 bets |
| newnewuser0x1dd1…a156 | Yes | 1,150 | 47.4¢ | $552 | Break-even+$0.65 per $100 · 737 bets |
| KnightianUncertainty0x58e1…f652 | No | 1,000 | 50.0¢ | $520 | — |
| wenzys0x35dd…75f3 | Yes | 1,071 | 46.0¢ | $514 | — |
3 more outcomes in this event.