Market · 5 of 15 outcomes
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:31 UTC. Not financial advice.
3 more outcomes in this event.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| gesst0xadaf…f9f2 | Yes | 126 | 60.0¢ | $73 | Proven+$17.17 per $100 · 566 bets |
| dexter.chow0xf72e…8b51 | Yes | 100 | 62.0¢ | $58 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| newnewuser0x1dd1…a156 |
| Yes |
| 94 |
| 58.0¢ |
| $55 |
| Break-even+$0.65 per $100 · 737 bets |
| 0xf9ea…7b04 | No | 118 | 42.4¢ | $49 | — |
| p0l780x66c6…24af | No | 116 | 43.0¢ | $49 | — |
| 0x8c94…2e06 | Yes | 83 | 58.2¢ | $48 | — |