Market · 4 of 5 outcomes
Will three people dissent the December Fed decision?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:54 UTC. Not financial advice.
Fed decision · December 2026 · 3 events · $474K in play
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 34 | 79.4¢ | $30 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,087 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 219 | 20.4¢ | $22 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| CorArm9990x73be…66ea | No | 24 | 92.0¢ | $22 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 20 | 92.0¢ | $18 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 175 | 18.0¢ | $17 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,489 bets |
| AiBird0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | 128 | 20.8¢ | $13 | Positive+$3.45 per $100 · 14,377 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.