Market · 4 of 5 outcomes
Will three people dissent the December Fed decision?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:48 UTC. Not financial advice.
Fed decision · December 2026 · 3 events · $474K in play
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 34 | 79.4¢ | $30 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,406 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 219 | 20.4¢ | $22 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| CorArm9990x73be…66ea | No | 24 | 92.0¢ | $22 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 20 | 92.0¢ | $18 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 175 | 18.0¢ | $17 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,685 bets |
| AiBird0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | 128 | 20.8¢ | $13 | Positive+$3.45 per $100 · 14,377 bets |
| HenriIV0x8d85…726f | Yes | 105 | 12.6¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xf528…7e5b | No | 10 | 85.6¢ | $9 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 79 | 17.7¢ | $8 | Losing−$2.67 per $100 · 123,278+ bets · updating |
| 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | 75 | 9.9¢ | $8 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 58 | 6.1¢ | $6 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| 0x28b9…8056 | No | 6 | 88.5¢ | $5 | — |
| Bsau40x8b44…63fb | Yes | 45 | 22.0¢ | $5 | — |
| haouibao0xa499…2a2b | Yes | 45 | 10.2¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x11b5…8c02 | Yes | 34 | 22.1¢ | $3 | — |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 33 | 8.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 29 | 20.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$5.89 per $100 · 53,017+ bets · updating |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1 | Yes | 28 | 13.0¢ | $3 | — |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 15 | 21.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.37 per $100 · 13,129 bets |
| 0xd38f…bf78 | Yes | 10 | 7.0¢ | $1 | — |
| kor-and-m0x0b14…f1f5 | No | 1 | 92.0¢ | $1 | — |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | No | 1 | 80.8¢ | $1 | Losing−$3.71 per $100 · 4,954 bets |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 4 | 6.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 3,178 bets |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | No | 0 | 79.8¢ | $0 | — |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | Yes | 1 | 25.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.91 per $100 · 3,067 bets |
| zxcursed1210x945a…a48c | Yes | 1 | 9.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$10.47 per $100 · 49,814+ bets · updating |
| T222222222220xea7f…b855 | No | 0 | 92.4¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 6.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 0 | 20.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.61 per $100 · 87,306 bets |
| Polimaki0x98a8…a47b | Yes | 0 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.