Market · 2 of 5 outcomes
Will one person dissent the December Fed decision?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:10 UTC. Not financial advice.
Fed decision · December 2026 · 3 events · $474K in play
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xdc3E831cad0x5ecd…0787 | Yes | 668 | 17.1¢ | $146 | Positive+$2.43 per $100 · 5,618 bets |
| melonmanm0x0787…0ca3 | No | 85 | 69.8¢ | $66 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 244 | 26.9¢ | $54 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 122,985 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 60 | 74.3¢ | $47 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 84.4¢ | $31 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,087 bets |
| HenriIV0x8d85…726f | Yes | 120 | 36.2¢ | $26 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 20 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.