Market · 5 of 5 outcomes
Will four or more people dissent the December Fed decision?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:55 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xdc3E831cad0x5ecd…0787 | No | 2,450 | 81.6¢ | $2.42K | Positive+$2.44 per $100 · 5,624 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 80.3¢ | $39 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,988 bets |
| AiBird0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | 710 | 15.2¢ | $9 | Positive+$3.43 per $100 · 14,399 bets |
| JesusFK0x268f…bbd7 | Yes | 526 | 19.0¢ | $7 | — |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | 500 | 1.0¢ | $7 | Positive+$11.86 per $100 · 5,341 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 461 | 18.0¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 130,881 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Fed decision · December 2026 · 3 events · $474K in play
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.