Market · 5 of 5 outcomes
Will four or more people dissent the December Fed decision?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 03:07 UTC. Not financial advice.
Fed decision · December 2026 · 3 events · $494K in play
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xdc3E831cad0x5ecd…0787 | No | 2,450 | 81.6¢ | $2.42K | Positive+$2.44 per $100 · 5,624 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 80.3¢ | $39 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,710 bets |
| AiBird0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | 710 | 15.2¢ | $9 | Positive+$3.43 per $100 · 14,399 bets |
| JesusFK0x268f…bbd7 | Yes | 526 | 19.0¢ | $7 | — |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | 500 | 1.0¢ | $7 | Positive+$11.86 per $100 · 5,341 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 461 | 18.0¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| asdf112d0x839f…ecba | No | 5 | 89.6¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 3,502 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 389 | 1.7¢ | $5 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| ddd1d430x0b4e…4d72 | No | 5 | 90.4¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 3,507 bets |
| Schmiegelow0x9eb9…3ed3 | No | 5 | 80.8¢ | $5 | — |
| turtle9110x4fff…be78 | No | 5 | 77.0¢ | $4 | Proven+$2.44 per $100 · 1,511 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 226 | 17.1¢ | $3 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 103 | 16.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.50 per $100 · 124,565+ bets · updating |
| doudouc0x74aa…2c3f | Yes | 80 | 19.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | 80 | 6.3¢ | $1 | — |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 68 | 1.7¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 3,178 bets |
| shoobadooba180x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | 60 | 20.0¢ | $1 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 55 | 2.1¢ | $1 | — |
| haouibao0xa499…2a2b | Yes | 45 | 5.1¢ | $1 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 0.7¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1 | Yes | 28 | 2.9¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | No | 0 | 80.8¢ | $0 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 21 | 23.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 20 | 20.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 20 | 7.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| T222222222220xea7f…b855 | Yes | 20 | 20.0¢ | $0 | — |
| sirjhow010x764a…83d3 | Yes | 18 | 3.7¢ | $0 | — |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 15 | 21.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,173 bets |
| crn10x41b7…4ff3 | Yes | 10 | 1.2¢ | $0 | — |
| HenriIV0x8d85…726f | Yes | 5 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd38f…bf78 | Yes | 5 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6b0b…ca40 | No | 0 | 60.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 5 | 23.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.60 per $100 · 56,831+ bets · updating |
| JusduA0x710d…4b74 | No | 0 | 96.0¢ | $0 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 0 | 20.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.58 per $100 · 87,593 bets |
| M4rketm4ker0x791f…e166 | Yes | 0 | 21.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Bsau40x8b44…63fb | Yes | 0 | 21.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.