Market · 14 of 15 outcomes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:08 UTC. Not financial advice.
5-Year Treasury Yield Peak · 2026 · 2 events · $48.8K in play
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HDGB0x2e3e…abea | No | 2,553 | 92.9¢ | $2.52K | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 1,077 bets |
| hithitfar0xe53c…e569 | No | 96 | 96.9¢ | $95 | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Teshub0xa5d3…a6c6 | No | 81 | 95.2¢ | $80 | Proven+$31.54 per $100 · 160 bets |
| KTKK0x7e01…63be | No | 71 | 25.5¢ | $70 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 1,223 bets |
| 0x10d4…bae0 | No | 70 | 71.4¢ | $69 | — |
| hbvad0x0f98…605a | No | 53 | 94.0¢ | $52 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 5 shares each side · Show
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