Market · 6 of 15 outcomes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.1% before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:25 UTC. Not financial advice.
3 more outcomes in this event.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| commeowder0xd06f…d4a6 | No | 971 | 93.7¢ | $938 | Proven+$3.25 per $100 · 2,064 bets |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 245 | 95.5¢ | $237 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| TheForeseer0xdac1…7249 |
| No |
| 25 |
| 96.4¢ |
| $24 |
| — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 476 | 4.5¢ | $16 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,032 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 145 | 6.2¢ | $5 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| Touge0x1c44…6c6b | Yes | 103 | 3.6¢ | $3 | — |
5-Year Treasury Yield Peak · 2026 · 2 events · $48.8K in play