Market · 10 of 15 outcomes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:51 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 2 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| commeowder0xd06f…d4a6 | No | 1,337 | 96.2¢ | $1.32K | Proven+$3.25 per $100 · 2,064 bets |
| hithitfar0xe53c…e569 | No | 265 | 97.2¢ | $261 | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| pako0x71ed…d338 | No | 234 | 74.0¢ | $230 | Proven+$3.00 per $100 · 454 bets |
| kjaskdaskdadsd0x405b…755c | No | 87 | 90.3¢ | $86 | — |
| Mithrandir.0xb17d…59ae | No | 40 | 94.0¢ | $39 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 1,983 bets |
| HDGB0x2e3e…abea | Yes | 460 | 1.3¢ | $7 | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 1,077 bets |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 5 shares each side · Show
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5-Year Treasury Yield Peak · 2026 · 2 events · $48.8K in play
3 more outcomes in this event.