Market · 9 of 15 outcomes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:38 UTC. Not financial advice.
5-Year Treasury Yield Peak · 2026 · 2 events · $48.8K in play
of the biggest Yes money sits with 2 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| commeowder0xd06f…d4a6 | No | 2,929 | 95.6¢ | $2.88K | Proven+$3.25 per $100 · 2,064 bets |
| KTKK0x7e01…63be | No | 600 | 9.3¢ | $590 | Positive |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 0xbada…d874 | No | 186 | 84.1¢ | $183 | — |
| hbvad0x0f98…605a | No | 53 | 94.0¢ | $52 | — |
| vladimirlennon0x3e31…e6d3 | No | 53 | 94.0¢ | $52 | — |
| gregnanny0x4083…05e5 | No | 53 | 94.0¢ | $52 | — |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 6 shares each side · Show
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3 more outcomes in this event.