Market · 7 of 15 outcomes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.2% before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:48 UTC. Not financial advice.
3 more outcomes in this event.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| commeowder0xd06f…d4a6 | No | 1,819 | 94.1¢ | $1.77K | Proven+$3.25 per $100 · 2,064 bets |
| 0xB16B00B50x8a7b…782f | No | 186 | 89.5¢ | $181 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| HDGB0x2e3e…abea |
| No |
| 172 |
| 79.3¢ |
| $168 |
| Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 1,077 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | 1,390 | 5.0¢ | $35 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,039 bets |
| SuperTests0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | 250 | 3.2¢ | $6 | Proven+$3.40 per $100 · 1,020 bets |
| trader-c6777f270xc677…677a | No | 5 | 89.0¢ | $5 | — |
5-Year Treasury Yield Peak · 2026 · 2 events · $48.8K in play