Market · 7 of 15 outcomes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.2% before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:33 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| commeowder0xd06f…d4a6 | No | 1,819 | 94.1¢ | $1.77K | Proven+$3.25 per $100 · 2,064 bets |
| 0xB16B00B50x8a7b…782f | No | 186 | 89.5¢ | $181 | — |
| HDGB0x2e3e…abea | No | 172 | 79.3¢ | $168 | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 1,077 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | 1,390 | 5.0¢ | $35 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,040 bets |
| SuperTests0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | 250 | 3.2¢ | $6 | Proven+$3.40 per $100 · 1,020 bets |
| trader-c6777f270xc677…677a | No | 5 | 89.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 172 | 20.4¢ | $4 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | 117 | 12.9¢ | $3 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 101 | 5.5¢ | $3 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| GotGreenWood0x88d9…35c7 | Yes | 50 | 6.0¢ | $1 | — |
| chaosj890xf085…02af | Yes | 46 | 10.4¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 5,508 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 41 | 18.1¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.76 per $100 · 122,728 bets |
| ju5z0v5rpcf80xce50…88ae | No | 1 | 98.1¢ | $1 | — |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | No | 1 | 95.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$3.71 per $100 · 4,954 bets |
| Hochul3250x5284…27f5 | Yes | 10 | 32.0¢ | $0 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 6 | 11.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd43f…c66b | No | 0 | 89.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
5-Year Treasury Yield Peak · 2026 · 2 events · $48.8K in play