Market · 2 of 15 outcomes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:49 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HDGB0x2e3e…abea | No | 404 | 74.5¢ | $384 | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 1,077 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 334 | 60.0¢ | $317 | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| AlAhmeda0x9d73…216b | No | 200 | 84.7¢ | $190 | Losing−$1.99 per $100 · 4,949 bets |
| Dapsy0x73d2…f9b7 | No | 34 | 57.0¢ | $32 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 220 | 11.0¢ | $11 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 10 | 83.2¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,039 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 0 shares each side · Show
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3 more outcomes in this event.
5-Year Treasury Yield Peak · 2026 · 2 events · $48.8K in play