Market · 3 of 15 outcomes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.4% before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:25 UTC. Not financial advice.
3 more outcomes in this event.
5-Year Treasury Yield Peak · 2026 · 2 events · $48.8K in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AlAhmeda0x9d73…216b | No | 707 | 90.5¢ | $675 | Losing−$1.99 per $100 · 4,949 bets |
| HDGB0x2e3e…abea | No | 547 | 79.1¢ | $522 | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 1,077 bets |
| BornAgain260x978e…80bc | No | 100 | 94.3¢ | $96 | — |
| Ethereal0080xbf46…7ecf | No | 66 | 90.4¢ | $63 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 25 | 95.2¢ | $24 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 464 | 19.8¢ | $21 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,453 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.