Market · 5 of 15 outcomes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.3% before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:25 UTC. Not financial advice.
3 more outcomes in this event.
5-Year Treasury Yield Peak · 2026 · 2 events · $48.8K in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xB16B00B50x8a7b…782f | No | 460 | 84.7¢ | $443 | — |
| SuperTests0xf3fa…7be3 | No | 170 | 86.6¢ | $164 | Proven+$3.40 per $100 · 1,020 bets |
| AlAhmeda0x9d73…216b | No | 150 | 94.3¢ | $144 | Losing−$1.99 per $100 · 4,949 bets |
| commeowder0xd06f…d4a6 | No | 31 | 95.2¢ | $30 | Proven+$3.25 per $100 · 2,064 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 23 | 95.2¢ | $23 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| HDGB0x2e3e…abea | Yes | 295 | 16.0¢ | $11 | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 1,077 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.