Market · 12 of 15 outcomes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:25 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HDGB0x2e3e…abea | No | 1,223 | 98.2¢ | $1.21K | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 1,077 bets |
| hithitfar0xe53c…e569 | No | 76 | 97.2¢ | $75 | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| kjaskdaskdadsd0x405b…755c | No | 64 | 94.1¢ | $63 | — |
| myodds0xbc57…753b | No | 46 | 95.5¢ | $46 | — |
| 0xB16B00B50x8a7b…782f | No | 35 | 88.6¢ | $35 | — |
| Skaliz0x4ba4…8a89 | No | 26 | 85.0¢ | $26 | Positive+$1.34 per $100 · 1,501 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 5 shares each side · Show
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5-Year Treasury Yield Peak · 2026 · 2 events · $48.8K in play
3 more outcomes in this event.