Market · 11 of 15 outcomes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:15 UTC. Not financial advice.
5-Year Treasury Yield Peak · 2026 · 2 events · $48.8K in play
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HDGB0x2e3e…abea | No | 1,223 | 98.2¢ | $1.21K | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 1,077 bets |
| hithitfar0xe53c…e569 | No | 76 | 97.2¢ | $75 | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| kjaskdaskdadsd0x405b…755c | No | 64 | 94.1¢ | $63 | Proven+$2.51 per $100 · 517 bets |
| myodds0xbc57…753b | No | 46 | 95.5¢ | $46 | — |
| 0xB16B00B50x8a7b…782f | No | 35 | 88.6¢ | $35 | — |
| Skaliz0x4ba4…8a89 | No | 26 | 85.0¢ | $26 | Positive+$1.34 per $100 · 1,501 bets |
| Ethereal0080xbf46…7ecf | No | 22 | 90.1¢ | $22 | — |
| ju5z0v5rpcf80xce50…88ae | No | 9 | 100.0¢ | $9 | — |
| Digital-Boy0xfe41…9f23 | Yes | 553 | 1.8¢ | $7 | Losing−$5.45 per $100 · 4,338 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 538 | 2.0¢ | $7 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 6 | 96.3¢ | $6 | Positive+$8.63 per $100 · 127,579 bets |
| PocoMoco40x4eff…2f35 | No | 4 | 92.4¢ | $4 | — |
| BlendER0x2ffa…f20a | No | 4 | 95.0¢ | $4 | — |
| Tattoos0x90dd…727c | No | 4 | 95.0¢ | $4 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 100 | 2.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$8.20 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 0xf41d…5e45 | No | 1 | 89.0¢ | $1 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 75 | 12.9¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| 0xdeb3…60cc | Yes | 59 | 11.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xac38…c565 | Yes | 48 | 11.4¢ | $1 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 46 | 2.2¢ | $1 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 3.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| karttitan0xe4f1…9833 | Yes | 29 | 14.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 28 | 0.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$63.56 per $100 · 34,653+ bets · updating |
| ffsFsfq0xf7fe…1e42 | Yes | 5 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Terminatrader0xa8de…5976 | Yes | 4 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 25oodksmsss090x3bef…f04e | Yes | 3 | 4.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.74 per $100 · 3,550 bets |
| 50sad0xb143…3c17 | Yes | 2 | 2.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 0 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 5 shares each side · Show
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