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Topic · Macro
17 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
0.0% of Polymarket
Events · markets
2 · 17
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
1 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest event ends
Dec 31
in 80 days
| Event | Leading outcome | Chance | This week | Money in play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027? | Below 4.7% | 15.5¢ | up 1 point this week | $33.3K |
| How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027? |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:35 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| 5.10% |
| 87.7¢ |
| up 6.2 points this week |
| $14.8K |
Yes minus No · across the 7 main markets
| Trader | Their view | Money on it | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| HDGB0x2e3e…abea | No on Below 3.7% | $5.9K | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 1,077 bets |
| commeowder0xd06f…d4a6 | No on Below 3.8% | $5.0K | Proven+$3.25 per $100 · 2,064 bets |
| cookedquail0xff06…2f60 | 5.10% · How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027 | $3.3K | Proven+$43.19 per $100 · 119 bets |
| KTKK0x7e01…63be | No on Below 3.9% | $2.9K | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 1,223 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No on 5.25% · How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027 | $2.1K | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,042 bets |
| GotGreenWood0x88d9…35c7 | No on 5.25% · How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027 | $933 | – |
| DW10x8041…fc83 | 5.10% · How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027 | $658 | – |
| 0xff7c…b233 | 5.25% · How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027 | $606 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| bigdickprick0x8735…46e5 | 5.25% · How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027 | $520 | – |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | 5.10% · How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027 | $508 | – |
From the 20 biggest holders of each main market. Traders with money on both sides count only the difference.