Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:49 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cookedquail0xff06…2f60 | Yes | 3,725 | 85.6¢ | $3.27K | Proven+$43.19 per $100 · 119 bets |
| DW10x8041…fc83 | Yes | 750 | 87.0¢ | $658 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| HDGB0x2e3e…abea |
| No |
| 4,440 |
| 10.3¢ |
| $546 |
| Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 1,077 bets |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 474 | 86.3¢ | $416 | — |
| title10xbe74…a70e | Yes | 367 | 81.3¢ | $322 | Positive+$1.92 per $100 · 7,460 bets |
| plytest20x08b4…624e | Yes | 357 | 88.7¢ | $313 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 1 shares each side · Show
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5-Year Treasury Yield Peak · 2026 · 2 events · $48.8K in play