Market · 4 of 15 outcomes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.5% before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:49 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 1,296 | 90.5¢ | $1.24K | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,039 bets |
| 0xd4d3…1b0b | No | 122 | 83.0¢ | $116 | — |
| misha-d10x040a…118d | No | 20 | 80.3¢ | $19 | — |
| Agecanonix0xe068…c5ea | No | 20 | 96.0¢ | $19 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 363 | 24.2¢ | $16 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 126,571+ bets · updating |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 273 | 25.2¢ | $12 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
3 more outcomes in this event.
5-Year Treasury Yield Peak · 2026 · 2 events · $48.8K in play